Who won the 13:57 Naas on 4 July 2026?
Keke (GB) won the 13:57 Naas at SP 2.20. Ridden by W J Lee. Trained by Edward Lynam.
13:57 Naas
IrelandIrish Stallion Farms EBF Race
5f · Flat · Good · 5 runners · €12,958 · Saturday, 4 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stKeke (GB)W J Lee·Edward Lynam6/5F·2.20SP
- 2ndXerling (IRE)AI top pick · 58.0Donagh O'Connor·Miss Natalia Lupini·beaten 0.3 lengths9/1·10.00SP
- 3rdLikedbymike (IRE)Dylan Browne McMonagle·M J Byrne·beaten 1.25 lengths15/8·2.88SP
Race time
59.50s+2.30s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 9.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Keke
Keke, our selection, holds a fine record in handicap company and, despite needing to bounce back from a below-par run last time, has shown he can both be held up and dictate matters from the front, a versatility that should suit this compact field. Likedbymike, who was below her best last time after some good form in better company, and the speedy Cardiff By The Sea, only in mid-division on her latest outing, look the principal dangers, while Howd'yadoit has a tougher weight to carry this time. On his overall claims, Keke is preferred for the day, with confidence still fairly guarded in a competitive heat.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Xerling
Donagh O'Connor · Miss Natalia Lupini · 3yo
Top-rated of 5
score 58.0 · +1.7 clear of next best (56.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong20d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight60averageLast 6: 0-4-0-2-1
- Ratings50% weight52averageOR 78
- Trainer20% weight50small sample (n=5)Miss Natalia Lupini: 1/5 winners last 14d (20%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 13.00 (Bet365) · 5th in the market of 5.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Naas 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 1.10
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.92
High (5–5)
IV 0.97
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 125 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: W J Lee · T: Edward Lynam · draw 5 6yo · G · bt | 58135 | 102 | 53.9 | 6/5F·2.20 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Miss Natalia Lupini · draw 3 3yo · F · b | 04021 | 78 | 58.0 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: M J Byrne · draw 4 4yo · F · b | 622429 | 96 | 48.7 | 15/8·2.88 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Gary Carroll · T: G M Lyons · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 48417 | 101 | 56.2 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Gavin Ryan · T: J A Stack · draw 1 3yo · F · b | 47107 | 91 | 56.3 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:57 Naas?
No — the AI top pick (Xerling) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 13:57 Naas?
Top finishers: 1. Keke (GB) (2.20), 2. Xerling (IRE) (10.00), 3. Likedbymike (IRE) (2.88).
What was the winning time for the 13:57 Naas?
The winning time was 59.50s, 2.30s slower than standard.
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