Who won the 14:33 Naas on 4 July 2026?
Carry The Flag (IRE) won the 14:33 Naas at SP 2.10. Ridden by Ronan Whelan. Trained by A P O'Brien.
14:33 Naas
IrelandCoolmore Stud Blackbeard Tipperary Stakes (Listed)
5f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 10 runners · €29,450 · Saturday, 4 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stCarry The Flag (IRE)Ronan Whelan·A P O'Brien11/10F·2.10SP
- 2ndBrazilian Diva (IRE)AI top pick · 65.3Diego Lima·Diego Dias·beaten 0.2 lengths11/1·12.00SP
- 3rdHanney Boy (IRE)Liam Keniry·Miss Evanna McCutcheon·beaten .5 lengths28/1·29.00SP
Race time
59.55s+2.35s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 11.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way62.8/100 rating
Big Negotiator
6.50Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.10 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Carry The Flag
Carry The Flag, our selection, brings much the strongest form into this moderate contest and, with his below-par run last time easily explained by a sharper trip than ideal, looks poised to kick on again back up in distance today. He rates clear on our figures and already holds solid black-type form. Big Negotiator, progressive before a below-par effort of his own last time, and the well-bred newcomer Rejoinder look the chief dangers, while a recent scorer in Brazilian Diva could also feature. Carry The Flag, though, is a confident selection to bounce back to winning ways.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Brazilian Diva
Diego Lima · Diego Dias · 2yo
Top-rated of 10
score 65.3 · +1.4 clear of next best (63.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=1)Diego Dias: 1/1 winners last 14d (100%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight70strong10d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Form20% weight58averageLast 6: 3-7-5-1
- Ratings50% weight53averageOR 80
MarketBest price 21.00 (William Hill) · 4th in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Naas 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 1.10
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.92
High (8–10)
IV 0.97
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 125 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Ronan Whelan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 8 2yo · C · b | 2129 | 101 | 63.9 | 11/10F·2.10 SP |
| 2 | 8 | J: Diego Lima · T: Diego Dias · draw 9 2yo · F · ch | 3751 | 80 | 65.3 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Liam Keniry · T: Miss Evanna McCutcheon · draw 7 2yo · C · b | 223 | 83 | 61.5 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 4 | 7 | 2yo · F · bp | 3210 | 84 | 62.8 | 15/8·2.88 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Nathan Crosse · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 2 2yo · F · b | 6 | — | 19.0 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: N G McCullagh · T: M C Grassick · draw 10 2yo · C · b | 82 | — | 19.6 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 7 | 10 | J: Rory Cleary · T: Josh Halley · draw 5 2yo · F · ch | 4315 | 85 | 61.0 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 8 | 9 | J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 4 2yo · F · b | 27 | — | 24.7 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 9 | 4 | J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 3 2yo · C · b | — | — | 18.5 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 10 | 6 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 1 2yo · F · b | 236 | 74 | 43.3 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:33 Naas?
No — the AI top pick (Brazilian Diva) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 14:33 Naas?
Top finishers: 1. Carry The Flag (IRE) (2.10), 2. Brazilian Diva (IRE) (12.00), 3. Hanney Boy (IRE) (29.00).
What was the winning time for the 14:33 Naas?
The winning time was 59.55s, 2.35s slower than standard.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org