Who won the 15:08 Naas on 4 July 2026?
Sovereign Cry (IRE) won the 15:08 Naas at SP 5.50. Ridden by Terry Casey. Trained by Daniel James Murphy.
15:08 Naas
IrelandLawlor's Of Naas Supporting Naas GAA Senior Football Race Day Apprentice Handicap
5f · Flat · Good · 12 runners · €7,068 · Saturday, 4 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stSovereign Cry (IRE)Terry Casey·Daniel James Murphy9/2·5.50SP
- 2ndBold Optimist (IRE)Conor Cusack·Daniel McLoughlin·beaten .5 lengths7/1·8.00SP
- 3rdArdadslosttheplot (IRE)Rebecca Parsons·David Marnane·beaten 1.75 lengths22/1·23.00SP
Race time
59.45s+2.25s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
AI top-rated Jordan Breeze (score 51.6) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 9.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way51.6/100 rating
Jordan Breeze
7.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.20 · 1/5 odds · 4 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Nouvel Espoir
Nouvel Espoir, our selection, got back on the scoresheet last time and remains competitively weighted even after that rise, giving him solid claims to follow up in what looks a typically tight, blanket-finish sprint. Sovereign Cry, whose earlier form reads better than his last effort, the front-running Arctic Steps, and Cactus, now dropped back in the weights after losing her thread in weaker company, are the chief dangers in a wide-open race. Confidence is only moderate given the strength in depth, but the selection's proven placement into today's conditions gets the nod.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Jordan Breeze
Robyn Donaghue-Leahy(4) · Patrick J Flynn · 4yo
Top-rated of 13
score 51.6 · +2.5 clear of next best (49.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong15d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight63small sample (n=4)Patrick J Flynn: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight42below averageLast 6: 2-2-1-0-6
- Ratings50% weight41below averageOR 62
MarketBest price 7.00 (Bet365) · 3rd in the market of 13.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Naas 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 1.10
Mid (6–9)
IV 0.92
High (10–13)
IV 0.97
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 125 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Terry Casey(7) · T: Daniel James Murphy · draw 1 3yo · G · b | 10469 | 73 | 38.9 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Conor Cusack(7) · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 11 6yo · G · bp | 08364 | 67 | 40.6 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 3 | 8 | J: Rebecca Parsons(7) · T: David Marnane · draw 10 3yo · F · b | 6350 | 68 | 35.3 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: E E Ryan(7) · T: James M Barcoe · draw 2 6yo · G · b | 023641 | 67 | 44.2 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 5 | 12 | J: Orla Tynan(7) · T: John Andrew Kinsella · draw 5 8yo · G · btb | 04029 | 60 | 32.8 | 7/2F·4.50 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Shay Wallace(7) · T: Martin Hassett · draw 8 8yo · G · bt | 67060 | 68 | 31.4 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 7 | 10 | J: Robyn Donaghue-Leahy(4) · T: Patrick J Flynn · draw 9 4yo · G · ch | 22106 | 62 | 51.6 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Patrick McGettigan · T: Ross O'Sullivan · draw 3 4yo · F · bp | 622519 | 72 | 49.1 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 9 | 11 | J: Adam Browne-Souza(7) · T: W P Browne · draw 4 6yo · G · btFT T | 05708 | 60 | 30.6 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 10 | 3 | J: Keithen Kennedy · T: Noel Meade · draw 13 4yo · G · chb | 30200 | 68 | 39.6 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 11 | 13 | J: Jessica O'Gorman(4) · T: John C McConnell · draw 7 6yo · G · brtv | 00218 | 49 | 38.0 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 12 | 9 | J: Freya Frain(7) · T: A P O'Brien · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 50400 | 68 | 44.4 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Sadhbh Tormey(7) · T: M C Grassick · draw 12 3yo · F · btb | 54904 | 73 | 36.2 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:08 Naas?
No — the AI top pick (Jordan Breeze) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 15:08 Naas?
Top finishers: 1. Sovereign Cry (IRE) (5.50), 2. Bold Optimist (IRE) (8.00), 3. Ardadslosttheplot (IRE) (23.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:08 Naas?
The winning time was 59.45s, 2.25s slower than standard.
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