18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

18:48 Roscommon

Ireland

SuperValu Co. Roscommon Ladies Day Novice Hurdle

2m · Hurdle · Good · 6 runners · €7,068 · Monday, 6 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Lizzie Twigg (IRE)
    Josh Williamson·Gordon Elliott
    11/8F·2.38
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Dani Donadoni (IRE)AI top pick · 67.5
    Sean O'Keeffe·W P Mullins·beaten 3.5 lengths
    6/4·2.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    The Store Boy (GB)
    Darragh O'Keeffe·Henry De Bromhead·beaten 7.5 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
Race time
3m 47.60s+2.70s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Lizzie Twigg (IRE))

sat behind the front group early with a minor error at the 1st - 2nd at the 3rd - minor mistake 4 out - shared the front going strongly at the second-last and soon in command - untidy at 2 out - driven and drifted right after 2 out - wandered approaching the last - found more to prevail

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way66.1/100 rating
Endless Talking
5.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.00 · 1/4 odds · 2 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Dani Donadoni

Sean O'Keeffe · W P Mullins · 6yo

Top-rated of 7
score 67.5 · +1.5 clear of next best (66.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Ratings50% weight
    87very strong
    OR 130 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    40d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    58average
    Last 6: 5-2-1-U-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    20weak
    W P Mullins: 1/13 winners last 14d (8%)
MarketBest price 3.00 (Bet365) · 2nd in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
5yo · M · b
151
30.8
11/8F·2.38
SP
21
J: Sean O'Keeffe · T: W P Mullins · draw 0
6yo · G · b
521U2
13067.5
6/4·2.50
SP
33
6yo · G · bt
57F21
11765.1
3/1·4.00
SP
46
J: Liam Quinlan · T: John Patrick Ryan · draw 0
5yo · G · b
8F
9.2
50/1·51.00
SP
55
5yo · G · b
88P07
19.9
50/1·51.00
SP
UR4
J: Cian Quirke · T: John F O'Neill · draw 0
5yo · G · bbFT B
98080
7445.5
100/1·101.00
SP
J: Keith Donoghue · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 0
5yo · G · b
84311
12166.1

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:48 Roscommon on 6 July 2026?

Lizzie Twigg (IRE) won the 18:48 Roscommon at SP 2.38. Ridden by Josh Williamson. Trained by Gordon Elliott.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:48 Roscommon?

No — the AI top pick (Dani Donadoni) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 18:48 Roscommon?

Top finishers: 1. Lizzie Twigg (IRE) (2.38), 2. Dani Donadoni (IRE) (2.50), 3. The Store Boy (GB) (4.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:48 Roscommon?

The winning time was 3m 47.60s, 2.70s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org