19:38 Leopardstown

Ireland

Mervue Equine Handicap (0-60)

1m1f · Flat · Good · 22 runners · €7,068 · Thursday, 9 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd

1st
Nibras Rainbow (IRE)
Leigh Roche·Paul W Flynn
13/2·7.50
SP
2nd
Alto Sax (IRE)
Ben Coen·Peter Fahey·beaten 0.3 lengths
6/1·7.00
SP
3rd
Yquem (IRE)AI top pick · 55.6
Chris Hayes·Richard Brabazon·beaten .75 lengths
10/3·4.33
SP

Race time

1m 53.26s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Nibras Rainbow (IRE))

“Shared the front early - lost the advantage after 3f and settled among the pace-setters - driven and made headway to seize the front 1 1/2f out before battling on strongly to the line”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way55.6/100 rating

Yquem

5.50William Hill

Place portion settles at 1.90 · 1/5 odds · 5 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Slaney Swagger

Our figures make Slaney Swagger the pick of this field of 22, rated highest despite a couple of unplaced runs of late, with earlier placed efforts and proven form over today's distance and going in support. The principal dangers on the figures are Burford Beauty, a close second having also been placed last time out, William F Browne third and quick to return only eight days after his last run, and Max Meridius fourth to complete the front four. It shapes as a competitive, closely-matched race and this is only a low-confidence vote, but Slaney Swagger is our selection on the balance of the form.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Yquem

Chris Hayes · Richard Brabazon · 4yo

Top-rated of 25

score 55.6 · +4.3 clear of next best (51.4)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=2)
Richard Brabazon: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Freshness10% weight
100very strong
21d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
45below average
Last 6: 3-5-8-9-1
Ratings50% weight
33weak
OR 50

MarketBest price 5.50 (William Hill) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Leopardstown 1m1f

full course data →

Strong: middle favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–9)

IV 1.12

Mid (10–17)

IV 1.24

High (18–25)

IV 0.64

Today: Yquem (draw 11) and Anchors Away (draw 17) get the bias; Slaney Swagger (draw 19) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 113 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	10	Nibras Rainbow J: Leigh Roche · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 7 6yo · G · bb	360132	9-08	52	—	—	44.9	13/2·7.50 SP
2	13	Alto Sax J: Ben Coen · T: Peter Fahey · draw 9 5yo · G · bb	015419	9-06	50	—	—	42.8	6/1·7.00 SP
3	14	Yquem J: Chris Hayes · T: Richard Brabazon · draw 11 4yo · F · b	35891	9-06	50	—	—	55.6	10/3·4.33 SP
4	6	Medieval Night J: J M Sheridan · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 22 4yo · G · btp	080830	9-12	56	—	—	38.1	22/1·23.00 SP
5	25	Master Garvey J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Joseph Anthony Murray · draw 10 6yo · G · btvFT TV	538757	8-10	40	—	—	26.4	22/1·23.00 SP
6	15	Morning Approach J: W J Lee · T: W McCreery · draw 14 8yo · M · b	00050	9-05	49	—	—	31.9	25/1·26.00 SP
7	17	Folk Warrior J: Ronan Whelan · T: J A Nash · draw 4 4yo · G · ch	0054	9-01	45	—	—	40.4	12/1·13.00 SP
8	24	Jazz Dreamers J: Patrick McGettigan(5) · T: Seamus Fahey · draw 15 8yo · G · b	06079	8-10	40	—	—	21.6	50/1·51.00 SP
9	22	Half Nutz J: E E Ryan(10) · T: James M Barcoe · draw 12 9yo · G · ch	858532	8-11	41	—	—	33.1	16/1·17.00 SP
10	1	Burford Beauty J: Gary Carroll · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 18 4yo · F · brt	55093	10-02	60	—	—	42.5	10/1·11.00 SP
11	5	Max Meridius J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Thomas Mullins · draw 25 5yo · G · bpFT P	09655	9-12	56	—	—	33.2	16/1·17.00 SP
12	8	Slaney Swagger J: Nicola Burns(5) · T: Aidan Melia · draw 19 5yo · G · br	23800	9-11	55	—	—	51.4	25/1·26.00 SP
13	23	Rushford J: Wayne Lordan · T: Thomas R Hughes · draw 13 7yo · G · bp	90909	8-10	40	—	—	31.1	66/1·67.00 SP
14	20	Milverton J: Robbie Colgan · T: Karl Thornton · draw 16 7yo · G · btpFT TP	70606	8-13	43	—	—	23.7	40/1·41.00 SP
15	9	Shelbourne Flyer J: Colin Keane · T: Noel Meade · draw 1 5yo · G · b	32006	9-09	53	—	—	36.9	5/2F·3.50 SP
16	7	Not Simple J: Gavin Ryan · T: James M Barrett · draw 3 4yo · F · bh	80059	9-11	55	—	—	29.0	14/1·15.00 SP
17	2	Mullacurry Maid J: Rory Cleary · T: Donal Kinsella · draw 5 4yo · F · brt	0895	10-01	59	—	—	42.8	50/1·51.00 SP
18	11	Shahada Ace J: Andrew Slattery · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 8 4yo · F · ch	86990	9-08	52	—	—	31.1	25/1·26.00 SP
19	12	Sayfa Fad J: Robert Whearty · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 20 5yo · M · bb	81700	9-07	51	—	—	35.9	40/1·41.00 SP
20	19	Lady Crossing J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: William J Fitzpatrick · draw 6 4yo · F · ch	00804	9-00	44	—	—	38.1	33/1·34.00 SP
21	21	Quarry Stone J: Jimmy Dalton(7) · T: Liam McAteer · draw 2 2yo · G · b	0800	8-13	43	—	—	29.2	50/1·51.00 SP
22	4	Anchors Away J: Paddy Harnett(5) · T: M G Quinn · draw 17 4yo · G · bt	03940	10-00	58	—	—	43.6	66/1·67.00 SP
—	—	Famous Enough J: Luke McAteer · T: Patrick T Foley · draw 23 6yo · G · brtp	02005	9-04	48	—	—	27.1	—
—	—	La Campanella J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Gerard Keane · draw 21 4yo · F · chp	50754	9-01	45	—	—	27.6	—
—	—	William F Browne J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 24 4yo · G · bvFT V	97037	10-01	59	—	—	31.4	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:38 Leopardstown on 9 July 2026?

Nibras Rainbow (IRE) won the 19:38 Leopardstown at SP 7.50. Ridden by Leigh Roche. Trained by Paul W Flynn.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:38 Leopardstown?

No — the AI top pick (Yquem) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 19:38 Leopardstown?

Top finishers: 1. Nibras Rainbow (IRE) (7.50), 2. Alto Sax (IRE) (7.00), 3. Yquem (IRE) (4.33).

What was the winning time for the 19:38 Leopardstown?

The winning time was 1m 53.26s.

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