20:30 Fairyhouse

Ireland

Racing Again September 21st Handicap

7f · Flat · Good · 15 runners · €7,068 · Wednesday, 8 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd

1st
Contrary To Law (IRE)
Ben Coen·J P Murtagh
13/8F·2.62
SP
2nd
Rappell (IRE)
J M Sheridan·Paul W Flynn·beaten 0.1 lengths
6/1·7.00
SP
3rd
Shoot To Kill (IRE)AI top pick · 50.6
Luke McAteer·Noel C Kelly·beaten 0.2 lengths
8/1·9.00
SP

Race time

1m 25.43s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Contrary To Law (IRE))

“handy behind the pace - improved into 5th with 2f to run - pushed into 4th approaching the final furlong - asserted approaching the line to score”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way39.0/100 rating

Hugo's Girl

5.00SmarketsSBK

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Shoot To Kill

Shoot To Kill sits well below Chester Nimitz, Imperial Dream and Loingseoir on our figures, but the case for him centres on a progressive profile that the raw figures don't fully capture. Chester Nimitz tops the ratings and cannot be ignored, while Imperial Dream and Loingseoir also carry solid claims in this large Fairyhouse field. Confidence in this selection is low, but on profile alone, Shoot To Kill is our pick to prove those figures wrong.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Shoot To Kill

Luke McAteer · Noel C Kelly · 9yo

Top-rated of 15

score 50.6 · +2.6 clear of next best (48.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
27d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
50small sample (n=5)
Noel C Kelly: 1/5 winners last 14d (20%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Ratings50% weight
47below average
OR 70
Form20% weight
36below average
Last 6: 0-0-3-2-8

MarketBest price 16.50 (Betfair Exchange) · 5th in the market of 15.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Fairyhouse 7f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)

IV 1.01

Mid (6–10)

IV 1.16

High (11–15)

IV 0.84

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 36 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	10	Contrary To Law J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 4 3yo · C · chh	9467	9-06	70	—	—	40.7	13/8F·2.62 SP
2	13	Rappell J: J M Sheridan · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 1 5yo · G · chb	900906	9-01	57	—	—	27.4	6/1·7.00 SP
3	4	Shoot To Kill J: Luke McAteer · T: Noel C Kelly · draw 3 9yo · G · bp	00328	10-00	70	—	—	50.6	8/1·9.00 SP
4	8	Hugo's Girl J: W J Lee · T: Thomas Dowling · draw 2 4yo · F · b	30324	9-09	65	—	—	39.0	100/30·4.33 SP
5	11	Unidos J: Ronan Whelan · T: Mark Fahey · draw 13 3yo · G · b	5080	9-04	68	—	—	33.9	80/1·81.00 SP
6	3	Loingseoir J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: M C Grassick · draw 5 10yo · G · bt	09744	10-00	70	—	—	48.0	16/1·17.00 SP
7	7	Carrigans Grove J: Gary Carroll · T: Patrick J Flynn · draw 14 5yo · M · bp	08400	9-10	66	—	—	31.1	28/1·29.00 SP
8	14	Peig Sayers J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: Miss Hilary McLoughlin · draw 10 5yo · M · b	00000	8-10	52	—	—	25.8	50/1·51.00 SP
9	1	Faoladh J: Adam Browne-Souza(7) · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 6 4yo · G · bt	946316	10-02	72	—	—	47.7	12/1·13.00 SP
10	12	Belle Nuit J: Chris Hayes · T: Paul Nolan · draw 8 2yo · F · b	540	9-03	67	—	—	30.8	50/1·51.00 SP
11	9	Green Kite J: Colin Keane · T: Kevin Thomas Coleman · draw 15 4yo · G · b	20842	9-08	64	—	—	45.9	11/1·12.00 SP
12	2	Chester Nimitz J: Nicola Burns(5) · T: Gerard O'Leary · draw 7 4yo · G · ch	01599	10-00	70	—	—	34.9	10/1·11.00 SP
13	6	Imperial Dream J: Alan Persse(5) · T: Patrick J Flynn · draw 12 6yo · G · b	62400	9-11	67	—	—	33.0	66/1·67.00 SP
14	15	Sonoma Sunset J: Neve Bennett(7) · T: W T Farrell · draw 9 4yo · F · gr	69000	8-10	52	—	—	34.3	80/1·81.00 SP
15	5	Surpass And Shine J: Robyn Donaghue-Leahy(7) · T: Patrick J Flynn · draw 11 3yo · C · b	19100	9-13	69	—	—	33.0	50/1·51.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 20:30 Fairyhouse on 8 July 2026?

Contrary To Law (IRE) won the 20:30 Fairyhouse at SP 2.62. Ridden by Ben Coen. Trained by J P Murtagh.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:30 Fairyhouse?

No — the AI top pick (Shoot To Kill) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 20:30 Fairyhouse?

Top finishers: 1. Contrary To Law (IRE) (2.62), 2. Rappell (IRE) (7.00), 3. Shoot To Kill (IRE) (9.00).

What was the winning time for the 20:30 Fairyhouse?

The winning time was 1m 25.43s.

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