Who won the 15:15 Lingfield (AW) on 6 July 2026?
Victory Gold (IRE) won the 15:15 Lingfield (AW) at SP 1.91. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Saeed bin Suroor.
15:15 Lingfield (AW)
Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 2)
7f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard · 9 runners · £6,480 · Monday, 6 July 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 10/11F·1.91Race report
- 1stVictory Gold (IRE)AI top pick · 43.9Oisin Murphy·Saeed bin Suroor10/11F·1.91SP
- 2ndRomanza (GB)Paddy Bradley·Charlie Fellowes·beaten .75 lengths3/1·4.00SP
- 3rdApulia Bay (IRE)Harry Davies·Simon & Ed Crisford·beaten 1.25 lengths11/2·6.50SP
Race time
1m 25.46s+3.46s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Victory Gold (IRE))
“in front from the start - asked for effort 2f out and picked up again passing the furlong marker - stayed on strongly - driven out for an easy success”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.91 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way31.6/100 rating
Sea Idol
8.80Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Why the model rates this top
Victory Gold
Oisin Murphy · Saeed bin Suroor · 2yo
Top-rated of 9
score 43.9 · +12.3 clear of next best (31.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong19d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight57averageOR 85 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight28weakLast 6: 2-4-0
- Trainer20% weight0small sample (n=1)Saeed bin Suroor: 0/1 winners last 14d (0%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 3.50 (Bet365) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 7f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.15).
Low (1–3)
IV 0.77
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.11
High (7–9)
IV 1.15
Today: Romanza (draw 7) and Thunder Home (draw 9) get the bias; Apulia Bay (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 408 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Saeed bin Suroor · draw 5 2yo · C · b | 240 | 85 | 43.9 | 10/11F·1.91 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 7 2yo · C · b | 47 | — | 26.0 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Harry Davies · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 3 2yo · C · b | — | — | 31.5 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 4 2yo · G · b | 2 | — | 31.6 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Horton · draw 9 2yo · C · b | 7 | — | 26.0 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 2 2yo · C · b | 4 | — | 25.5 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: David Probert · T: Richard Hughes · draw 8 2yo · C · b | 0 | — | 15.0 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 8 | 3 | J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 6 2yo · C · b | 67 | — | 17.3 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 9 | 6 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Marco Botti · draw 1 2yo · C · b | — | — | 26.5 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:15 Lingfield (AW)?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Victory Gold, won the race (AI score 43.9).
What were the placings in the 15:15 Lingfield (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Victory Gold (IRE) (1.91), 2. Romanza (GB) (4.00), 3. Apulia Bay (IRE) (6.50).
What was the winning time for the 15:15 Lingfield (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 25.46s, 3.46s slower than standard.
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