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RacingAlpha

19:07 Kilbeggan

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Chase

3m1½f · Chase · Good · 6 runners · €7,657 · Friday, 10 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Charlie Luciano (IRE)
    Conor Stone-Walsh·Noel Meade
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Scalpnagoon (IRE)
    Danny Gilligan·Gordon Elliott·beaten 9 lengths
    3/1F·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Tonaghneave Well (IRE)
    Keith Donoghue·Gavin Cromwell·beaten 4.25 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
6m 48.90s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Charlie Luciano (IRE))

settled behind the pacesetter in 2nd - slipped to 3rd before the 6th - up to 4th before 4 out - narrowed the gap at 3 out - 3rd at 2 out - moved smoothly into the front before the last - kept finding more to win readily

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way72.4/100 rating
Scalpnagoon
5.50Bet365
Place portion settles at 1.90 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Franciscan Rock

Franciscan Rock is our selection, clear at the head of this smaller field on our figures despite a recent sequence without a win. Tonaghneave Well, Charlie Luciano and Scalpnagoon are the chief dangers, each within a workable range and capable of testing the selection if the form falls their way. The suspicion is that Franciscan Rock simply has more raw ability than this field can call upon, even allowing for the mixed recent finishes. Confidence in the selection is high.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Franciscan Rock

Josh Williamson(5) · M F Morris · 9yo

Top-rated of 8
score 79.0 · +6.6 clear of next best (72.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=1)
    M F Morris: 1/1 winners last 14d (100%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    91very strong
    OR 136 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    71d since last run (rusty)
  • Form20% weight
    36below average
    Last 6: 4-9-5-2-7
MarketBest price 2.46 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Conor Stone-Walsh · T: Noel Meade · draw 0
7yo · G · b
PP0P4
11356.2
4/1·5.00
SP
27
J: Danny Gilligan · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 0
6yo · G · bt
32234
11672.4
3/1F·4.00
SP
38
J: Keith Donoghue · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 0
6yo · G · bp
66989
11655.6
4/1·5.00
SP
45
J: J J Slevin · T: John C McConnell · draw 0
7yo · G · btp
2145
11959.3
10/3·4.33
SP
56
J: Mr J P Sampson(7) · T: L Young · draw 0
7yo · G · b
82513
22.8
8/1·9.00
SP
PU1
J: Harry Cobden · T: E Bolger · draw 0
7yo · G · b
6708
29.3
13/2·7.50
SP
J: Josh Williamson(5) · T: M F Morris · draw 0
9yo · G · btp
49527
13679.0
J: Sam Ewing · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 0
6yo · G · grb
55784
26.8

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:07 Kilbeggan on 10 July 2026?

Charlie Luciano (IRE) won the 19:07 Kilbeggan at SP 5.00. Ridden by Conor Stone-Walsh. Trained by Noel Meade.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:07 Kilbeggan?

No — the AI top pick (Franciscan Rock) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 19:07 Kilbeggan?

Top finishers: 1. Charlie Luciano (IRE) (5.00), 2. Scalpnagoon (IRE) (4.00), 3. Tonaghneave Well (IRE) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:07 Kilbeggan?

The winning time was 6m 48.90s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org