Who won the 16:30 Leicester on 14 July 2026?
Melody De Vega (IRE) won the 16:30 Leicester at SP 2.75. Ridden by David Probert. Trained by Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole.
16:30 Leicester
Leicester Racecourse Ideal Conference Venue Fillies' Handicap Stakes
1m2f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 4 runners · £4,711 · Tuesday, 14 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stMelody De Vega (IRE)David Probert·Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole7/4·2.75SP
- 2ndFille Imbassee (GB)Tom Kiely-Marshall·Julie Camacho·beaten 1.5 lengths100/30·4.33SP
- 3rdHot Silk (GB)AI top pick · 54.0Saffie Osborne·James Fanshawe·beaten .5 lengths11/8F·2.38SP
Race time
2m 9.23s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Melody De Vega (IRE))
“raced in the pack before slipping to last after 3f - made steady progress from 3f out - pushed along in pursuit of the front 2f out - went to the front entering the final furlong and finished strongly”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.38 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Melody De Vega
Melody De Vega heads this small field on our figures, rated 80 and comfortably clear of her four rivals, with a runner-up effort last time out the highlight of a largely placed profile this term. Hot Silk is the closest on our book after a string of solid fourths, while Imola and Fille Imbassee both boast recent wins but rate lower on these figures. The form and the weight of our figures make Melody De Vega the clear selection, with a 27-day break since her last outing the only note of caution.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Hot Silk
Saffie Osborne · James Fanshawe · 3yo
Top-rated of 4
score 54.0 · +4.3 clear of next best (49.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong17d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight68strongJames Fanshawe: 4/15 winners last 14d (27%)
- Ratings50% weight44below averageOR 66
- Form20% weight43below averageLast 6: 6-4-4-4
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Leicester 1m2f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 0.91
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.07
High (5–5)
IV 1.03
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 90 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: David Probert · T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole · draw 3 3yo · F · b | 33582 | 70 | 44.7 | 7/4·2.75 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · T: Julie Camacho · draw 4 3yo · F · bh | 134041 | 66 | 49.7 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: James Fanshawe · draw 5 3yo · F · b | 6444 | 66 | 54.0 | 11/8F·2.38 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Jason Hart · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 1 3yo · F · b | 113298 | 62 | 44.1 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Joey Ramsden · draw 2 5yo · M · b | 421146 | 66 | 44.4 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:30 Leicester?
No — the AI top pick (Hot Silk) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 16:30 Leicester?
Top finishers: 1. Melody De Vega (IRE) (2.75), 2. Fille Imbassee (GB) (4.33), 3. Hot Silk (GB) (2.38).
What was the winning time for the 16:30 Leicester?
The winning time was 2m 9.23s.
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