18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

15:30 Ffos Las

Diplomat Hotel Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 7 runners · £5,400 · Tuesday, 14 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Star Velocity (GB)
    Rossa Ryan·Ralph Beckett
    4/5F·1.80
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Queen Sana (GB)
    Kieran Shoemark·Ollie Sangster·beaten 1 length
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Nevasca Cinza (GB)AI top pick · 60.1
    George Wood·James Fanshawe·beaten 1.75 lengths
    11/4·3.75
    SP
Race time
56.18s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Star Velocity (GB))

Travelled close to the pace - was asked for effort approaching two furlongs out and closed on the front-runner - continued to respond passing the furlong pole - found extra to hit the front inside the final furlong and powered clear to the line

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Nevasca Cinza

George Wood · James Fanshawe · 3yo

Top-rated of 7
score 60.1 · +7.4 clear of next best (52.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    23d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    68strong
    James Fanshawe: 4/15 winners last 14d (27%)
  • Form20% weight
    61average
    Last 6: 2-4-3-4-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 73 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ffos Las 5f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.27).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.81
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.27
High (6–7)
IV 0.97

Today: Livvys Edge (draw 5) and Gris De Chine (draw 4) get the bias; Nevasca Cinza (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 40 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 3
3yo · F · b
3
36.0
4/5F·1.80
SP
26
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 7
3yo · F · b
302226
6952.6
3/1·4.00
SP
33
J: George Wood · T: James Fanshawe · draw 1
3yo · G · grvFT V
24342
7360.1
11/4·3.75
SP
44
J: Alfie Redman(7) · T: Zoe Hawkins · draw 4
3yo · F · grtFT T
537
6033.0
20/1·21.00
SP
52
J: Taylor Fisher · T: J S Moore · draw 6
3yo · G · b
18.5
125/1·126.00
SP
65
J: William Cox · T: Christopher Mason · draw 5
3yo · F · gr
35.0
66/1·67.00
SP
71
J: J F Egan · T: Malcolm Saunders · draw 2
3yo · G · bl
5
13.0
125/1·126.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:30 Ffos Las on 14 July 2026?

Star Velocity (GB) won the 15:30 Ffos Las at SP 1.80. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by Ralph Beckett.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:30 Ffos Las?

No — the AI top pick (Nevasca Cinza) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 15:30 Ffos Las?

Top finishers: 1. Star Velocity (GB) (1.80), 2. Queen Sana (GB) (4.00), 3. Nevasca Cinza (GB) (3.75).

What was the winning time for the 15:30 Ffos Las?

The winning time was 56.18s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org