16:05 Ffos Las

Preventapest Handicap Stakes

7½f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 9 runners · £4,187 · Tuesday, 14 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th

1st
Tokyo Joe (GB)
Kieran Shoemark·Ed Walker
10/11F·1.91
SP
2nd
Spirit Of The Bay (IRE)
Taylor Fisher·John & Rhys Flint·beaten 0.3 lengths
15/2·8.50
SP
3rd
Kaleidoscope Eyes (IRE)
Ryan Kavanagh·Bernard Llewellyn·beaten 0.05 lengths
14/1·15.00
SP

Race time

1m 30.48s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Tokyo Joe (GB))

“Travelled close to the pace - was asked for effort to hit the front two furlongs out and ran left - continued under pressure passing the furlong pole before running right passing the final 110 yards - battled on bravely to the line”

AI top-rated Mayberry Moon (score 59.0) finished 5th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Tokyo Joe

Tokyo Joe is our selection in this competitive eight-furlong Class 5, preferred over top-rated Follow Your Heart on a progressive profile. Follow Your Heart heads our figures and remains a big threat, with Counting Cards and Mayberry Moon also capable of running well. Confidence is medium, with Tokyo Joe's recent form and profile giving him the nod in a tightly-graded field.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Mayberry Moon

Rossa Ryan · Thomas Faulkner · 4yo

Top-rated of 9

score 59.0 · +10.3 clear of next best (48.8)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=5)
Thomas Faulkner: 3/5 winners last 14d (60%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Freshness10% weight
100very strong
15d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
45below average
OR 67
Form20% weight
34weak
Last 6: 3-1-9-0-4

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ffos Las 7½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 0.91

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.08

High (7–9)

IV 1.03

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 56 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	2	Tokyo Joe J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 3 4yo · G · b	82164	9-08	69	—	—	48.8	10/11F·1.91 SP
2	7	Spirit Of The Bay J: Taylor Fisher · T: John & Rhys Flint · draw 6 8yo · M · bp	59447	9-03	64	—	—	37.1	15/2·8.50 SP
3	9	Kaleidoscope Eyes J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Bernard Llewellyn · draw 4 4yo · F · b	31904	8-08	55	—	—	35.0	14/1·15.00 SP
4	3	Freddie's Star J: Owen Lewis(5) · T: Roger Teal · draw 1 4yo · G · bp	19605	9-07	68	—	—	37.0	12/1·13.00 SP
5	4	Mayberry Moon J: Rossa Ryan · T: Thomas Faulkner · draw 8 4yo · G · bh	31904	9-06	67	—	—	59.0	4/1·5.00 SP
6	6	Dandy G Boy J: Edward Greatrex · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 2 4yo · G · chp	31426	9-06	67	—	—	48.1	14/1·15.00 SP
7	1	Follow Your Heart J: George Wood · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 5 8yo · G · bt	46400	9-09	70	—	—	34.8	12/1·13.00 SP
8	5	Counting Cards J: William Cox · T: Ed de Giles · draw 7 4yo · G · b	27490	9-06	67	—	—	34.4	33/1·34.00 SP
9	8	Redredrobin J: J F Egan · T: Malcolm Saunders · draw 9 9yo · M · b	25968	9-01	62	—	—	33.0	28/1·29.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:05 Ffos Las on 14 July 2026?

Tokyo Joe (GB) won the 16:05 Ffos Las at SP 1.91. Ridden by Kieran Shoemark. Trained by Ed Walker.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:05 Ffos Las?

No — the AI top pick (Mayberry Moon) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 16:05 Ffos Las?

Top finishers: 1. Tokyo Joe (GB) (1.91), 2. Spirit Of The Bay (IRE) (8.50), 3. Kaleidoscope Eyes (IRE) (15.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:05 Ffos Las?

The winning time was 1m 30.48s.

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