18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

16:40 Ffos Las

Dandara, Beautiful New Homes In Carway "Confined" Handicap Stakes (For Horses Which Have Not Won A Flat Race In 2026)

1m2f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 9 runners · £3,454 · Tuesday, 14 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 2/1F·3.00
  1. 1st
    Homeland (GB)AI top pick · 54.6
    Rossa Ryan·Thomas Faulkner
    2/1F·3.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Praise Indeed (GB)
    Jason Watson·William Muir & Chris Grassick·beaten 1.25 lengths
    10/1·11.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Gert Lush (IRE)
    Owen Lewis·Roger Teal·beaten 0.3 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
Race time
2m 10.08s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Homeland (GB))

“Travelled just off the pace - was asked for effort approaching two furlongs out and continued to respond under pressure - hit the front close home and pulled clear to the line”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Racing Demon

Racing Demon is our selection in this ten-furlong Class 6, preferred over top-rated Havana Tobouggaloo on a progressive profile. Havana Tobouggaloo remains the one to beat, while Gert Lush and Homeland also warrant respect in a wide-open field. Confidence is low given how tightly this field is graded, but Racing Demon's overall profile edges it forward.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Homeland

Rossa Ryan · Thomas Faulkner · 4yo

Top-rated of 9
score 54.6 · +14.3 clear of next best (40.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=5)
    Thomas Faulkner: 3/5 winners last 14d (60%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    29d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    41below average
    Last 6: 7-6-5-3-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    36below average
    OR 54
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ffos Las 1m2f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.95
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.01
High (7–9)
IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 43 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
Homeland
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Thomas Faulkner · draw 9
4yo · G · b
76534
5454.6
2/1F·3.00
SP
24
Praise Indeed
J: Jason Watson · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 4
4yo · F · b
0687
5336.8
10/1·11.00
SP
35
Gert Lush
J: Owen Lewis(5) · T: Roger Teal · draw 2
9yo · M · b
50728
5131.3
6/1·7.00
SP
41
Havana Tobouggaloo
J: Alfie Redman(7) · T: Zoe Hawkins · draw 5
4yo · F · b
80255
5535.2
4/1·5.00
SP
58
Madame Passant
J: Taryn Langley(5) · T: Charlie Pike · draw 7
3yo · F · bh
7003
5038.3
4/1·5.00
SP
66
Hammal
J: Taylor Fisher · T: Max Young · draw 3
5yo · G · b
70009
4723.3
100/1·101.00
SP
72
Racing Demon
J: William Cox · T: Ed de Giles · draw 1
6yo · G · b
05725
5535.9
9/1·10.00
SP
89
Ibiza Lights
J: George Wood · T: Michael Bell · draw 6
3yo · F · bv
08082
4940.3
11/1·12.00
SP
RR7
Prophet Squeeze
J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: Barry John Murphy · draw 8
8yo · M · b
707
4731.7
50/1·51.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:40 Ffos Las on 14 July 2026?

Homeland (GB) won the 16:40 Ffos Las at SP 3.00. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by Thomas Faulkner.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:40 Ffos Las?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Homeland, won the race (AI score 54.6).

What were the placings in the 16:40 Ffos Las?

Top finishers: 1. Homeland (GB) (3.00), 2. Praise Indeed (GB) (11.00), 3. Gert Lush (IRE) (7.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:40 Ffos Las?

The winning time was 2m 10.08s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org