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14:45

Chester

Great Britain

Tom Jones Live At Chester Racecourse Handicap Stakes (Div I)

Saturday, 11 July 2026

7½f·Flat·Class 4·Good·9 runners·£7,731
Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Advance Twentyfive (FR)
    Harry Russell·Richard & Peter Fahey
    22/1·23.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Vixey (GB)
    Aiden Brookes·Simon West·beaten .75 lengths
    17/2·9.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Giant (GB)
    Harry Davies·Ian Williams·beaten 1 length
    9/2·5.50
    SP
Race time
1m 32.33s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Advance Twentyfive (FR))

settled towards the back - denied room 2f out - driven and made late progress over 1f out - went to the front in the final furlong and ran on to win

Settled · 1pt level stake = 22.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.077.0/100 rating
Eagle Bay
2.63BetWright· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1
No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Each-way51.9/100 rating
Percy's Lad
5.00Boyle Sports
Place portion settles at 1.80 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Eagle Bay

Sean D Bowen · Harriet Bethell · 3yo

77.0/100
+17.2 vs next best (59.8)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    Harriet Bethell: 2/4 winners last 14d (50%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    93very strong
    Last 6: 3-1-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    57average
    OR 85 — above field median
MarketBest price 2.63 (BetWright) — market favourite. AI agrees with the market.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners

Pos#DrHorseJockey / TrainerFormWtORRPRTSAISP
614
8yo · G · ch
40062
10-048751.9
7/4F·2.75
SP
423
4yo · G · bp
00249
10-018446.9
11/1·12.00
SP
532
6yo · G · bh
89015
10-008349.3
11/4·3.75
SP
248
6yo · M · b
13358
9-087759.8
17/2·9.50
SP
7610
7yo · G · bv
29722
9-077645.5
22/1·23.00
SP
879
4yo · G · ch/esFT /ES
88054
9-057448.7
14/1·15.00
SP
987
8yo · G · bbFT B
09075
9-037245.5
28/1·29.00
SP
196
3yo · G · bvFT V
95607
9-007839.2
22/1·23.00
SP
3101
6yo · G · b
630024
8-116040.1
9/2·5.50
SP
5
3yo · G · b
311
9-078577.0

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:45 Chester on 11 July 2026?

Advance Twentyfive (FR) won the 14:45 Chester at SP 23.00. Ridden by Harry Russell. Trained by Richard & Peter Fahey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:45 Chester?

No — the AI top pick (Eagle Bay) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 14:45 Chester?

Top finishers: 1. Advance Twentyfive (FR) (23.00), 2. Vixey (GB) (9.50), 3. Giant (GB) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 14:45 Chester?

The winning time was 1m 32.33s.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Percy's Lad is our selection in this competitive Class 4 contest over Chester's 8f, boasting a clear advantage over the rest of the ten-runner field on our figures. Obelix, Miami Matrix and Advance Twentyfive represent the main dangers, all fairly closely matched between themselves, but none gets near matching the selection's overall level. Confidence is high that Percy's Lad's superior form profile prevails here.

Racing Post pick: Percy's Lad

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org