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16:01 Bath

Novacast Don't Come Last Handicap Stakes (Bath Summer Stayers' Series Qualifier)

1m6f · Flat · Class 6 · Firm · 5 runners · £3,454 · Wednesday, 15 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 1/4F·1.25
  1. 1st
    Campeona (GB)AI top pick · 42.3
    Luke Morris·Sir Mark Prescott Bt
    1/4F·1.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Endofastorm (IRE)
    Kieran O'Neill·Joe Ponting·beaten 2 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Blue Siam (IRE)
    Charlie Tucker·Syd Hosie·beaten 5 lengths
    28/1·29.00
    SP
Race time
3m 2.73s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Campeona (GB))

settled towards the back but not far off the pace - driven soon after halfway - improved into contention from 2f out - wandered under pressure inside the final furlong - mildly bumped when hitting the front inside the final 110 yards but stayed on

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Campeona

Campeona edges this small field on our figures, arriving in clearly improving form after a big step forward when second last time out, though she remains without a win in her last four starts. Blue Siam, second herself two runs back, and Man Of The Sea, a winner five starts back, look the more obvious dangers, with Assured also capable but disadvantaged by a 54-day absence. Campeona is our selection on the strength of that upward trend.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Campeona

Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt · 3yo

Top-rated of 5
score 42.3 · +3.6 clear of next best (38.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    41below average
    OR 61 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    40below average
    Last 6: 8-7-7-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    20weak
    Sir Mark Prescott Bt: 1/13 winners last 14d (8%)
MarketBest price 1.40 (Bet365) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Bath 1m6f

full course data →

Strong: middle favoured (IV 1.36).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.88
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.36
High (5–5)
IV 0.83

Today: Assured (draw 4) and Man Of The Sea (draw 3) get the bias; Endofastorm (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 43 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
3yo · F · b
8772
6142.3
1/4F·1.25
SP
25
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Joe Ponting · draw 5
7yo · M · b
622542
4635.5
5/1·6.00
SP
33
J: Charlie Tucker(7) · T: Syd Hosie · draw 2
4yo · F · bvFT V
65426
5133.9
28/1·29.00
SP
41
J: Taylor Fisher · T: Neil Mulholland · draw 3
10yo · G · chtv
10594
5433.9
9/1·10.00
SP
52
J: Finley Marsh · T: Tom Gretton · draw 4
5yo · M · chpFT P
55760
5238.7
66/1·67.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:01 Bath on 15 July 2026?

Campeona (GB) won the 16:01 Bath at SP 1.25. Ridden by Luke Morris. Trained by Sir Mark Prescott Bt.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:01 Bath?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Campeona, won the race (AI score 42.3).

What were the placings in the 16:01 Bath?

Top finishers: 1. Campeona (GB) (1.25), 2. Endofastorm (IRE) (6.00), 3. Blue Siam (IRE) (29.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:01 Bath?

The winning time was 3m 2.73s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org