15:10 Catterick

racingtv.com/freetrial Nursery Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 4 runners · £3,664 · Wednesday, 15 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 2/1C·3.00

1st
Lady Dublin (GB)AI top pick · 40.4
Harry Russell·Ollie Pears
2/1C·3.00
SP
2nd
Sunrise At Dawn (GB)
Tom Eaves·Craig Lidster·beaten 4.75 lengths
2/1C·3.00
SP
3rd
Mardy Bum (IRE)
Mark Winn·David O'Meara·beaten 3.5 lengths
2/1C·3.00
SP

Race time

1m 12.86s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Lady Dublin (GB))

“Led from the start - driven further ahead with a furlong left - won with something in hand”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Lady Dublin

Lady Dublin is our selection for this Catterick six-furlong contest, topping our figures on 70 in a compact field of four. Sunrise At Dawn (64) and Mardy Bum (63) look the most likely to trouble her, with Showmethebubbles (58) further back on these figures. Confidence in the selection is low, with the whole field fairly tightly bunched on our numbers.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Lady Dublin

Harry Russell · Ollie Pears · 2yo

Top-rated of 4

score 40.4 · +1.4 clear of next best (39.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
23d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
44below average
Last 6: 4-4-6-3
Ratings50% weight
43below average
OR 65 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
0small sample (n=5)
Ollie Pears: 0/5 winners last 14d (0%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard

MarketBest price 3.13 (CopyBet) · 2nd in the market of 4.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Catterick 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.36).

Low (1–2)

IV 1.36

Mid (3–3)

IV 0.79

High (4–4)

IV 0.80

Today: Showmethebubbles (draw 1) and Sunrise At Dawn (draw 2) get the bias; Lady Dublin (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 150 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	1	Lady Dublin J: Harry Russell · T: Ollie Pears · draw 3 2yo · F · bpFT P	4463	9-09	65	—	—	40.4	2/1C·3.00 SP
2	3	Sunrise At Dawn J: Tom Eaves · T: Craig Lidster · draw 2 2yo · F · b	586	9-01	57	—	—	31.2	2/1C·3.00 SP
3	2	Mardy Bum J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 4 2yo · F · bh	6743	9-06	62	—	—	38.2	2/1C·3.00 SP
4	4	Showmethebubbles J: Cam Hardie · T: Brian Ellison · draw 1 2yo · F · b	855	8-08	50	—	—	39.0	11/1·12.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:10 Catterick on 15 July 2026?

Lady Dublin (GB) won the 15:10 Catterick at SP 3.00. Ridden by Harry Russell. Trained by Ollie Pears.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:10 Catterick?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Lady Dublin, won the race (AI score 40.4).

What were the placings in the 15:10 Catterick?

Top finishers: 1. Lady Dublin (GB) (3.00), 2. Sunrise At Dawn (GB) (3.00), 3. Mardy Bum (IRE) (3.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:10 Catterick?

The winning time was 1m 12.86s.

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