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18:40 Yarmouth

4-head Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £5,653 · Wednesday, 15 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Tryst (IRE)
    Jack Callan·George Boughey
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Sea Suite (IRE)
    Cieren Fallon·James Owen·beaten 1.75 lengths
    11/4F·3.75
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Dion Baker (IRE)AI top pick · 63.0
    Darragh Keenan·Michael Wigham·beaten 1.25 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
1m 19.00s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Tryst (IRE))

tracked the front-runners early - was asked to take over in front 2f out - kept finding more from over 1f out and was driven out in the final furlong to win

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Tryst

Tryst, our selection, tops this field by some margin on our figures and has a win among her recent starts to her name, though a below-par run last time out keeps confidence low. Sea Suite rates closest behind her, a two-time winner in this sequence despite a below-par run last time out, while Gorgeous Mr George arrives on the back of two wins in a row. Up The Agenda, a winner twice in his last five starts, adds further depth. Dion Baker's run of recent wins and Izzy Fast's placed effort last time out mean this looks a competitive race for the places even with the rating gaps.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Dion Baker

Darragh Keenan · Michael Wigham · 7yo

Top-rated of 6
score 63.0 · +5.1 clear of next best (57.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    92very strong
    Last 6: 1-1-1-3-1-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=6)
    Michael Wigham: 2/6 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    8d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    42below average
    OR 63
MarketBest price 4.50 (Bet365) · 2nd in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Yarmouth 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 1.08
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.02
High (5–6)
IV 0.89

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 189 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Jack Callan(3) · T: George Boughey · draw 6
3yo · F · bpFT P
14276
8051.5
8/1·9.00
SP
22
J: Cieren Fallon · T: James Owen · draw 4
4yo · G · chv
143417
7656.2
11/4F·3.75
SP
36
J: Darragh Keenan · T: Michael Wigham · draw 2
7yo · G · bp
111311
6363.0
4/1·5.00
SP
41
J: Taryn Langley(5) · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 1
4yo · G · ch
88811
8250.1
7/2·4.50
SP
54
J: Hector Crouch · T: Philip McBride · draw 5
4yo · F · b
51972
6839.0
3/1·4.00
SP
65
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Jack Morland · draw 3
3yo · G · bvFT V
13178
7557.9
9/1·10.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:40 Yarmouth on 15 July 2026?

Tryst (IRE) won the 18:40 Yarmouth at SP 9.00. Ridden by Jack Callan. Trained by George Boughey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:40 Yarmouth?

No — the AI top pick (Dion Baker) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 18:40 Yarmouth?

Top finishers: 1. Tryst (IRE) (9.00), 2. Sea Suite (IRE) (3.75), 3. Dion Baker (IRE) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:40 Yarmouth?

The winning time was 1m 19.00s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org