18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

17:24 Leopardstown

Ireland

Bulmers Live At Leopardstown Apprentice Handicap

7f · Flat · Good · 14 runners · €9,000 · Thursday, 16 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Ardadslosttheplot (IRE)
    Rebecca Parsons·David Marnane
    7/1·8.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Dynamic Force (IRE)
    Sadhbh Tormey·T G McCourt·beaten 2.75 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Bear Right (IRE)
    Keithen Kennedy·Mrs John Harrington·beaten 0.3 lengths
    5/2F·3.50
    SP
Race time
1m 30.02s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Ardadslosttheplot (IRE))

Up with the pace early - hampered after 1f and soon dropped towards the back - angled right approaching the straight - made ground out wide with two furlongs left to hit the front 150 yards out - stayed on strongly without being fully extended

AI top-rated Comfort Line (score 44.8) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Bear Right

Bear Right is our selection at Leopardstown, preferred over the top-rated on a progressive profile and a fitness edge over the rest of this field. God Knows sits highest of all on our figures and remains a live threat, with Faoladh and Comfort Line completing the main dangers close behind on the same book. It is a competitive race and confidence in the selection is low, but Bear Right's profile and fitness give a fair chance of getting the better of the higher-rated opposition.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Comfort Line

Cillian Rowan(7) · Adrian McGuinness · 9yo

Top-rated of 14
score 44.8 · +0.5 clear of next best (44.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    13d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    59average
    Last 6: 0-4-3-1-2-5
  • Ratings50% weight
    42below average
    OR 63
  • Trainer20% weight
    25weak
    Adrian McGuinness: 3/30 winners last 14d (10%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Leopardstown 7f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.16
Mid (6–10)
IV 0.88
High (11–15)
IV 0.94

Today: Bear Right (draw 2) and Notforalongtime (draw 3) get the bias; Comfort Line (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 180 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
3yo · F · b
63503
6839.7
7/1·8.00
SP
27
J: Sadhbh Tormey(7) · T: T G McCourt · draw 11
7yo · G · bp
04745
5935.4
11/1·12.00
SP
38
3yo · F · bpFT P
U7343
6442.5
5/2F·3.50
SP
412
J: Jack Cleary · T: Nigel Thomas Slevin · draw 15
6yo · G · btp
660857
5230.6
16/1·17.00
SP
515
J: Wesley Joyce · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 5
3yo · G · btp
490083
5436.0
15/2·8.50
SP
63
9yo · G · gv
043125
6344.8
11/2·6.50
SP
74
J: Patrick McGettigan(2) · T: P Sweeney · draw 14
7yo · M · b
22090
6330.9
16/1·17.00
SP
89
J: Jack Kearney · T: A Oliver · draw 4
5yo · M · baybrowntbFT TB
05009
5529.5
18/1·19.00
SP
914
8yo · M · cht
0800U
4823.3
20/1·21.00
SP
105
5yo · M · bp
84510
6238.5
11/1·12.00
SP
1111
J: Mel Sheridan(7) · T: P Sweeney · draw 8
8yo · G · b
08809
5325.2
66/1·67.00
SP
1213
J: Rory Mulligan(2) · T: Laura Hourigan · draw 3
9yo · G · bp
833858
5142.3
14/1·15.00
SP
131
J: Sam Coen(2) · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 13
4yo · G · bt
463169
7138.3
7/1·8.00
SP
142
4yo · F · br
98000
6642.4
28/1·29.00
SP
3yo · F · b
886
6144.3

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:24 Leopardstown on 16 July 2026?

Ardadslosttheplot (IRE) won the 17:24 Leopardstown at SP 8.00. Ridden by Rebecca Parsons. Trained by David Marnane.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:24 Leopardstown?

No — the AI top pick (Comfort Line) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 17:24 Leopardstown?

Top finishers: 1. Ardadslosttheplot (IRE) (8.00), 2. Dynamic Force (IRE) (12.00), 3. Bear Right (IRE) (3.50).

What was the winning time for the 17:24 Leopardstown?

The winning time was 1m 30.02s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org