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17:45 Epsom

Betfred 'The Classic Bookmaker' EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £7,020 · Thursday, 16 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 7/4·2.75
  1. 1st
    The Balearic Sun (IRE)AI top pick · 23.2
    Hector Crouch·Ralph Beckett
    7/4·2.75
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Zarakova (GB)
    Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding·beaten .5 lengths
    13/8F·2.62
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Palace Legacy (GB)
    Tom Marquand·James Tate·beaten 1.25 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
Race time
1m 24.59s

Race time recorded.

In-running (The Balearic Sun (IRE))

Pursued the front-runner early - came under pressure 3f out - hit the front over 1f out - stayed on strongly inside the final furlong to hold on comfortably near the finish

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

The Balearic Sun

Hector Crouch · Ralph Beckett · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 23.2 · +0.7 clear of next best (22.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    75strong
    Ralph Beckett: 14/47 winners last 14d (30%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    13d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    6weak
    Last 6: 9
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Epsom 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.95
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.90
High (5–5)
IV 1.14

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 62 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 3
2yo · C · chtFT T
9
23.2
7/4·2.75
SP
25
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5
2yo · F · b
6
22.5
13/8F·2.62
SP
33
J: Tom Marquand · T: James Tate · draw 4
2yo · C · b
18.5
6/1·7.00
SP
41
J: Jack Mitchell · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 1
2yo · C · b
21.0
9/2·5.50
SP
52
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Adam Kirby · draw 2
2yo · C · b
15.0
25/1·26.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:45 Epsom on 16 July 2026?

The Balearic Sun (IRE) won the 17:45 Epsom at SP 2.75. Ridden by Hector Crouch. Trained by Ralph Beckett.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:45 Epsom?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, The Balearic Sun, won the race (AI score 23.2).

What were the placings in the 17:45 Epsom?

Top finishers: 1. The Balearic Sun (IRE) (2.75), 2. Zarakova (GB) (2.62), 3. Palace Legacy (GB) (7.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:45 Epsom?

The winning time was 1m 24.59s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org