18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

18:20 Epsom

Steve Donoghue Handicap Stakes

1m½f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £4,449 · Thursday, 16 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Trio (GB)
    Callum Hutchinson·Eve Johnson Houghton
    11/4F·3.75
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Eutropia (GB)AI top pick · 65.5
    Tom Marquand·Adrian Wintle·beaten 0.3 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Letsbeatsepsis (GB)
    Rhys Clutterbuck·Gary & Josh Moore·beaten 3 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
1m 44.08s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Trio (GB))

Settled in the pack - made ground 3f out - came under pressure 2f out - hit the front and opened a two length advantage over 1f out - stayed on strongly inside the final furlong - never came under serious threat and held off a late rally

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Eutropia

In this Class 5 event over 8f at Epsom, our selection is Eutropia, preferred to the higher-rated Kitaro Kich on her more progressive profile rather than pure figures alone. It's a competitive nine-runner field with barely three pounds separating the first four in our ratings, so this is no formality. Kitaro Kich, Trio and Penfolds Grange all pose the biggest threats to that selection, with Kitaro Kich the highest-rated of the trio on 77. Confidence in Eutropia is medium, reflecting just how tightly this field is matched at the top.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Eutropia

Tom Marquand · Adrian Wintle · 4yo

Top-rated of 9
score 65.5 · +12.7 clear of next best (52.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=7)
    Adrian Wintle: 3/7 winners last 14d (43%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    32d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    73strong
    Last 6: 1-3-1-1-5-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 67
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Epsom 1m½f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.14).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.99
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.87
High (7–9)
IV 1.14

Today: Trio (draw 7) and Penfolds Grange (draw 8) get the bias; Eutropia (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 119 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
3yo · F · b
33357
6952.4
11/4F·3.75
SP
23
J: Tom Marquand · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 5
4yo · F · b
131152
6765.5
3/1·4.00
SP
38
4yo · G · bp
26304
4952.8
12/1·13.00
SP
47
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 4
3yo · G · b
5695
6344.2
5/1·6.00
SP
54
J: Mason Paetel(5) · T: Mark Hoad · draw 9
6yo · G · b
76346
6438.2
6/1·7.00
SP
66
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Simon Dow · draw 2
4yo · G · b
09806
5732.4
33/1·34.00
SP
72
J: Neil Callan · T: George Baker · draw 1
6yo · G · brt
52164
6742.9
9/1·10.00
SP
89
J: Sean D Bowen · T: Jim Boyle · draw 6
3yo · G · b
827684
5838.7
150/1·151.00
SP
91
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Mark Pattinson · draw 8
4yo · G · b
42263
6842.0
6/1·7.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:20 Epsom on 16 July 2026?

Trio (GB) won the 18:20 Epsom at SP 3.75. Ridden by Callum Hutchinson. Trained by Eve Johnson Houghton.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:20 Epsom?

No — the AI top pick (Eutropia) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 18:20 Epsom?

Top finishers: 1. Trio (GB) (3.75), 2. Eutropia (GB) (4.00), 3. Letsbeatsepsis (GB) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:20 Epsom?

The winning time was 1m 44.08s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org