Who won the 15:03 Thirsk on 16 July 2026?
Angel Numbers (IRE) won the 15:03 Thirsk at SP 8.00. Ridden by James Sullivan. Trained by Ruth Carr.
15:03 Thirsk
Sell Your Business With Anderson Barrowcliff Handicap Stakes
5f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £4,711 · Thursday, 16 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stAngel Numbers (IRE)James Sullivan·Ruth Carr7/1·8.00SP
- 2ndStraight Ahead (GB)William Pyle·Craig Lidster·beaten 0.3 lengths3/1·4.00SP
- 3rdUnder The Radar (IRE)Duran Fentiman·Tim Easterby·beaten 2 lengths12/1·13.00SP
Race time
57.64s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Angel Numbers (IRE))
“raced in the pack - made ground on the front two 2f out - drifted left beyond 1f out - soon hit the front - drifted left again inside the final furlong - kept finding more and got the verdict close home”
AI top-rated Simba's Pride (score 50.7) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Yellow Diamonds
Yellow Diamonds is our selection in this wide-open nine-runner Class 5 sprint at Thirsk, preferred for her progressive profile despite sitting just outside the very top of the ratings. Straight Ahead, Empress Olivia and Angel Numbers are all rated marginally higher and form the chief dangers in a race with little between the leading contenders. Given how tightly matched this field is on our figures, confidence in the selection is low, but Yellow Diamonds' profile gives her claims of her own.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Simba's Pride
Sean Kirrane · Michael Dods · 3yo
Top-rated of 9
score 50.7 · +2.9 clear of next best (47.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong15d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight60averageLast 6: 1-2-1-5-4-3
- Ratings50% weight45below averageOR 68
- Trainer20% weight30weakMichael Dods: 3/26 winners last 14d (12%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Thirsk 5f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.22).
Low (1–3)
IV 0.73
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.08
High (7–9)
IV 1.22
Today: Yellow Diamonds (draw 9) and Straight Ahead (draw 8) get the bias; Angel Numbers (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 3 3yo · F · gr | 252774 | 70 | 47.7 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: William Pyle · T: Craig Lidster · draw 8 3yo · G · b | 01148 | 72 | 42.2 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 3 | 8 | J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4 3yo · G · br | 85669 | 63 | 38.2 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 5 3yo · G · chpFT P | 121543 | 68 | 50.7 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 9 3yo · F · b | 10444 | 66 | 43.5 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Jack Garritty · T: Mark Walford · draw 7 3yo · F · b | 21040 | 69 | 37.6 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 2 3yo · G · bt | 36292 | 67 | 44.3 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 8 | 5 | J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 6 3yo · G · b | 68100 | 68 | 45.2 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 9 | 9 | J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 1 3yo · G · ch | 01376 | 62 | 42.9 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:03 Thirsk?
No — the AI top pick (Simba's Pride) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 15:03 Thirsk?
Top finishers: 1. Angel Numbers (IRE) (8.00), 2. Straight Ahead (GB) (4.00), 3. Under The Radar (IRE) (13.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:03 Thirsk?
The winning time was 57.64s.
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