Who won the 16:10 Thirsk on 16 July 2026?
Captain Cess (IRE) won the 16:10 Thirsk at SP 4.00. Ridden by Zak Wheatley. Trained by Declan Carroll.
16:10 Thirsk
Meijer Celebration Cup Handicap Stakes
7f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £3,664 · Thursday, 16 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 8thRace report
- 1stCaptain Cess (IRE)Zak Wheatley·Declan Carroll3/1·4.00SP
- 2ndCoconut Bay (GB)Jason Hart·Tristan Davidson·beaten 1.75 lengths11/4·3.75SP
- 3rdElashgar (IRE)William Pyle·Kevin & Lauren Frost·beaten 0.1 lengths40/1·41.00SP
Race time
1m 25.86s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Captain Cess (IRE))
“up with the pace early - improved into third 3f out - hit the front 1f out then drifted left and hampered the second entering the final 110yds - went clear and was untroubled close home”
AI top-rated Fair Isle Sioux (score 52.0) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 66.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Captain Cess
Captain Cess is the pick on figures, topping the ratings for this Class 6 seven-furlong contest at Thirsk with the strongest recent form of the ten runners. Emerald Army, Coconut Bay and Elashgar all pose genuine threats, each rated within a handful of pounds, making this a tightly matched race. Confidence in the selection is only medium given how close the principals are, but Captain Cess's profile gives it the edge. Captain Cess remains our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Fair Isle Sioux
Cam Hardie · Adam Nicol · 6yo
Top-rated of 9
score 52.0 · +5.0 clear of next best (47.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=2)Adam Nicol: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight100very strong15d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight33weakOR 50
- Form20% weight27weakLast 6: 5-6-5
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Thirsk 7f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.82
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.04
High (8–10)
IV 1.16
Today: Fair Isle Sioux (draw 10) and Night Emperor (draw 9) get the bias; Coconut Bay (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 129 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 3 4yo · G · b | 40623 | 55 | 42.9 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Jason Hart · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 4 7yo · M · b | 830743 | 53 | 47.0 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: William Pyle · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 5 3yo · G · ch | 831206 | 53 | 39.9 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Jake Dickson(7) · T: Philip Kirby · draw 1 5yo · M · bp | 06623 | 45 | 38.0 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Tina Jackson · draw 9 4yo · G · gr | 78644 | 50 | 45.8 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 6 5yo · G · b | 542286 | 54 | 43.0 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 7 3yo · F · ch | 640 | 52 | 31.5 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 8 | 4 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Adam Nicol · draw 10 6yo · M · ch | 565 | 50 | 52.0 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 9 | 8 | J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 2 3yo · F · cht | 973603 | 52 | 32.6 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Noel Wilson · draw 8 3yo · G · bt | 86887 | 45 | 26.1 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:10 Thirsk?
No — the AI top pick (Fair Isle Sioux) finished 8.
What were the placings in the 16:10 Thirsk?
Top finishers: 1. Captain Cess (IRE) (4.00), 2. Coconut Bay (GB) (3.75), 3. Elashgar (IRE) (41.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:10 Thirsk?
The winning time was 1m 25.86s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org