Who won the 14:40 Chepstow on 16 July 2026?
So Smart (IRE) won the 14:40 Chepstow at SP 4.33. Ridden by Ryan Kavanagh. Trained by Grace Harris.
14:40 Chepstow
Lsl Racing Horse Sales Syndication Leasing Apprentice Handicap Stakes
5f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 4 runners · £4,187 · Thursday, 16 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stSo Smart (IRE)Ryan Kavanagh·Grace Harris100/30·4.33SP
- 2ndSavannah Smiles (IRE)Ashley Lewis·Grace Harris·beaten 2 lengths13/8F·2.62SP
- 3rdDragon God (GB)Myla Coppins·Tony Carroll·beaten 0.3 lengths9/4·3.25SP
Race time
57.94s
Race time recorded.
In-running (So Smart (IRE))
“set the pace from the start - driven over 1f out - stayed on strongly inside the final furlong - drew clear for an emphatic success”
AI top-rated River Edge (score 52.9) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Savannah Smiles
Savannah Smiles is the pick in this Class 5 5f contest at Chepstow, preferred to the top-rated Punchbowl Flyer on account of her more progressive recent profile even though the pair share identical figures. Punchbowl Flyer himself is the obvious danger on our own figures, with So Smart and Dragon God both capable of running into the frame from further back. Confidence is low in a race with little between the principals, but Savannah Smiles gets the vote.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
River Edge
Rose Dawes · Christopher Mason · 5yo
Top-rated of 4
score 52.9 · +7.1 clear of next best (45.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight95small sample (n=8)Christopher Mason: 3/8 winners last 14d (38%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight70strong13d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Form20% weight58averageLast 6: 4-5-2-3
- Ratings50% weight31weakOR 46
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Chepstow 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 1.00
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.90
High (5–5)
IV 1.08
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 106 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Ryan Kavanagh · T: Grace Harris · draw 4 7yo · G · btp | 653343 | 58 | 38.2 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Ashley Lewis · T: Grace Harris · draw 3 6yo · M · bp | 76231 | 65 | 45.4 | 13/8F·2.62 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Myla Coppins(5) · T: Tony Carroll · draw 2 4yo · C · b | 933652 | 54 | 41.6 | 9/4·3.25 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Rose Dawes · T: Christopher Mason · draw 5 5yo · G · gr | 4523 | 46 | 52.9 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| — | — | J: Alexandra Egan(5) · T: John O'Shea · draw 1 9yo · G · bb | 870211 | 66 | 45.8 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:40 Chepstow?
No — the AI top pick (River Edge) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 14:40 Chepstow?
Top finishers: 1. So Smart (IRE) (4.33), 2. Savannah Smiles (IRE) (2.62), 3. Dragon God (GB) (3.25).
What was the winning time for the 14:40 Chepstow?
The winning time was 57.94s.
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