Who won the 15:15 Chepstow on 16 July 2026?
Amber Ocean (GB) won the 15:15 Chepstow at SP 6.00. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole.
15:15 Chepstow
EBF / Ub40 Ft. Ali Campbell 24th July Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (EBF Restricted Race Qualifier) (GBB Race)
5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £5,400 · Thursday, 16 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stAmber Ocean (GB)Rossa Ryan·Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole5/1·6.00SP
- 2ndBlondie Larry (IRE)AI top pick · 31.9Saffie Osborne·Jamie Osborne·beaten 1.25 lengths5/6F·1.83SP
- 3rdChianti (GB)Luke Morris·Archie Watson·beaten 2 lengths10/1·11.00SP
Race time
58.87s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Amber Ocean (GB))
“up with the pace - driven over 1f out - stayed on to open up a big advantage inside the final furlong and was in command at the finish”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.83 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Why the model rates this top
Blondie Larry
Saffie Osborne · Jamie Osborne · 2yo
Top-rated of 9
score 31.9 · +5.6 clear of next best (26.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong19d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight62averageLast 6: 5-2
- Trainer20% weight48below averageJamie Osborne: 3/16 winners last 14d (19%)
- Ratings50% weight0weakno Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Chepstow 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.00
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.90
High (7–9)
IV 1.08
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 106 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole · draw 7 2yo · F · ch | 2 | — | 26.1 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 2 2yo · C · b | 52 | — | 31.9 | 5/6F·1.83 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Luke Morris · T: Archie Watson · draw 6 2yo · G · b | 54 | — | 18.0 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Adam Kirby · draw 9 2yo · G · b | — | — | 15.0 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Thomas Greatrex · T: Charlie Pike · draw 3 2yo · G · b | 7 | — | 13.0 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 6 | 9 | J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 4 2yo · F · chhFT H | 48 | — | 26.3 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: George Downing · T: Ed Walker · draw 8 2yo · F · b | 86 | — | 22.3 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 5 2yo · C · b | 06 | — | 15.7 | 250/1·251.00 SP |
| 9 | 3 | J: Jason Watson · T: Charles Hills · draw 1 2yo · C · b | 84 | — | 21.2 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:15 Chepstow?
No — the AI top pick (Blondie Larry) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 15:15 Chepstow?
Top finishers: 1. Amber Ocean (GB) (6.00), 2. Blondie Larry (IRE) (1.83), 3. Chianti (GB) (11.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:15 Chepstow?
The winning time was 58.87s.
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