Who won the 15:50 Chepstow on 16 July 2026?
Kodi Fire (IRE) won the 15:50 Chepstow at SP 15.00. Ridden by Jason Watson. Trained by Charles Hills.
15:50 Chepstow
Fairplay Daily Price Boosts Handicap Stakes
1m · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £4,187 · Thursday, 16 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stKodi Fire (IRE)Jason Watson·Charles Hills14/1·15.00SP
- 2ndDappled Light (GB)AI top pick · 66.4Finley Marsh·Adrian Wintle·beaten .75 lengths5/1·6.00SP
- 3rdRating (IRE)Ashley Lewis·Grace Harris·beaten .5 lengths17/2·9.50SP
Race time
1m 33.41s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Kodi Fire (IRE))
“set the early pace - driven along over 2f out - came under pressure and drifted left inside the final furlong - overtaken in the final 110 yards - fought back in the final strides - regained the advantage at the line”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Stenmark
Stenmark is the pick in this Class 5 contest over 8f at Chepstow, holding a clear advantage over this field on our figures and rated the most consistent of the principals. Echalar and Kodi Fire represent the biggest dangers, both within a handful of pounds of the selection, while Penelope Valentine cannot be entirely dismissed on her better efforts. Confidence is only low given how tightly matched this field looks, but Stenmark remains the one to beat on the figures presented.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Dappled Light
Finley Marsh · Adrian Wintle · 6yo
Top-rated of 6
score 66.4 · +5.1 clear of next best (61.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=7)Adrian Wintle: 3/7 winners last 14d (43%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight100very strong16d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight75strongLast 6: 8-7-1-1-2
- Ratings50% weight43below averageOR 64
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Chepstow 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 1.06
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.95
High (5–6)
IV 0.98
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 108 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Jason Watson · T: Charles Hills · draw 1 4yo · G · brtpFT TP | 50584 | 68 | 42.3 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Finley Marsh · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 2 6yo · G · bp | 87112 | 64 | 66.4 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: Grace Harris · draw 3 5yo · M · chp | 323155 | 63 | 41.7 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Ian Williams · draw 6 4yo · G · bh | 066703 | 75 | 46.0 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Luke Morris · T: James Owen · draw 5 4yo · F · bv | 19326 | 72 | 51.9 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Gihan Arnolda · draw 4 4yo · G · b | 55382 | 75 | 61.3 | 5/6F·1.83 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:50 Chepstow?
No — the AI top pick (Dappled Light) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 15:50 Chepstow?
Top finishers: 1. Kodi Fire (IRE) (15.00), 2. Dappled Light (GB) (6.00), 3. Rating (IRE) (9.50).
What was the winning time for the 15:50 Chepstow?
The winning time was 1m 33.41s.
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