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16:25 Chepstow

Bet Now With fairplaybet.co.uk Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 12 runners · £3,454 · Thursday, 16 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Too Much Trevor (GB)
    Ashley Lewis·Grace Harris
    10/1·11.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Scarfo (IRE)
    Charlie Tucker·Bernard Llewellyn·beaten 0.3 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Ajrad (GB)
    Lewis Edmunds·Rod Millman·beaten 1.25 lengths
    11/2·6.50
    SP
Race time
1m 21.81s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Too Much Trevor (GB))

close up early - went to the front over 2f out - shot clear over 1f out - advantage narrowed inside the final furlong - repelled a determined rival to hold on in the final 110 yards

AI top-rated Ravenglass (score 56.3) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Tomarlo

Tomarlo is our selection in this wide-open field, preferred over the top-rated Romanovich on a progressive profile and a clear fitness edge. He won last time out just nine days ago and already has today's trip covered, and that quick turnaround should tell in a race like this. Romanovich, Ten Club and Ajrad are the main dangers - Romanovich has the highest figures here but a 48-day absence and a below-par run last time, Ten Club rates second-highest despite three unplaced efforts in his recent form, and Ajrad has been consistent without ever troubling the frame and has no win to show for it. Confidence in Tomarlo is only low given the depth of this field, but his form and fitness make the case.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Ravenglass

Joe Leavy · Adrian Wintle · 7yo

Top-rated of 12
score 56.3 · +5.2 clear of next best (51.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=7)
    Adrian Wintle: 3/7 winners last 14d (43%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    45below average
    Last 6: 4-7-6-2-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    35weak
    OR 52
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chepstow 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)
IV 1.06
Mid (6–10)
IV 0.95
High (11–14)
IV 0.98

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 108 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: Grace Harris · draw 8
5yo · G · br
523144
5437.0
10/1·11.00
SP
212
5yo · G · ch
079132
4837.6
9/1·10.00
SP
34
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Rod Millman · draw 11
8yo · G · chp
86565
5443.9
11/2·6.50
SP
413
J: Luke Morris · T: R Harris · draw 6
5yo · G · bv
986524
4530.3
11/1·12.00
SP
51
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 10
4yo · G · bt
770431
5244.5
13/2·7.50
SP
69
J: Joe Leavy · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 2
7yo · G · bb
47624
5256.3
13/2·7.50
SP
73
4yo · G · b
000080
5527.3
10/1·11.00
SP
88
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Tony Carroll · draw 4
7yo · M · bb
371422
5345.3
7/2F·4.50
SP
914
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon · draw 14
7yo · G · b
990977
4534.0
80/1·81.00
SP
106
J: William Carson · T: John O'Shea · draw 1
7yo · G · grb
516357
5433.8
14/1·15.00
SP
F2
J: Finley Marsh · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 7
5yo · G · b
00075
5551.1
28/1·29.00
SP
UR11
7yo · G · bb
434452
4936.8
13/2·7.50
SP
7yo · M · b
42677
5137.3
J: Kieren Fox · T: Michael Attwater · draw 9
5yo · G · b
27644
5340.3

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:25 Chepstow on 16 July 2026?

Too Much Trevor (GB) won the 16:25 Chepstow at SP 11.00. Ridden by Ashley Lewis. Trained by Grace Harris.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:25 Chepstow?

No — the AI top pick (Ravenglass) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 16:25 Chepstow?

Top finishers: 1. Too Much Trevor (GB) (11.00), 2. Scarfo (IRE) (10.00), 3. Ajrad (GB) (6.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:25 Chepstow?

The winning time was 1m 21.81s.

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