Who won the 16:25 Chepstow on 16 July 2026?
Too Much Trevor (GB) won the 16:25 Chepstow at SP 11.00. Ridden by Ashley Lewis. Trained by Grace Harris.
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7f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 12 runners · £3,454 · Thursday, 16 July 2026
Race time recorded.
“close up early - went to the front over 2f out - shot clear over 1f out - advantage narrowed inside the final furlong - repelled a determined rival to hold on in the final 110 yards”
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Tomarlo is our selection in this wide-open field, preferred over the top-rated Romanovich on a progressive profile and a clear fitness edge. He won last time out just nine days ago and already has today's trip covered, and that quick turnaround should tell in a race like this. Romanovich, Ten Club and Ajrad are the main dangers - Romanovich has the highest figures here but a 48-day absence and a below-par run last time, Ten Club rates second-highest despite three unplaced efforts in his recent form, and Ajrad has been consistent without ever troubling the frame and has no win to show for it. Confidence in Tomarlo is only low given the depth of this field, but his form and fitness make the case.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Joe Leavy · Adrian Wintle · 7yo
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 108 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: Grace Harris · draw 8 5yo · G · br | 523144 | 54 | 37.0 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 2 | 12 | J: Charlie Tucker(7) · T: Bernard Llewellyn · draw 13 5yo · G · ch | 079132 | 48 | 37.6 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Rod Millman · draw 11 8yo · G · chp | 86565 | 54 | 43.9 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 4 | 13 | J: Luke Morris · T: R Harris · draw 6 5yo · G · bv | 986524 | 45 | 30.3 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 10 4yo · G · bt | 770431 | 52 | 44.5 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 6 | 9 | J: Joe Leavy · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 2 7yo · G · bb | 47624 | 52 | 56.3 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 7 | 3 | J: Charles Bishop · T: John & Rhys Flint · draw 5 4yo · G · b | 000080 | 55 | 27.3 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Tony Carroll · draw 4 7yo · M · bb | 371422 | 53 | 45.3 | 7/2F·4.50 SP |
| 9 | 14 | J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon · draw 14 7yo · G · b | 990977 | 45 | 34.0 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 10 | 6 | J: William Carson · T: John O'Shea · draw 1 7yo · G · grb | 516357 | 54 | 33.8 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| F | 2 | J: Finley Marsh · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 7 5yo · G · b | 00075 | 55 | 51.1 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| UR | 11 | J: Alexandra Egan(7) · T: Bernard Llewellyn · draw 3 7yo · G · bb | 434452 | 49 | 36.8 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| — | — | J: Seamus Cronin(5) · T: Michael Attwater · draw 12 7yo · M · b | 42677 | 51 | 37.3 | — |
| — | — | J: Kieren Fox · T: Michael Attwater · draw 9 5yo · G · b | 27644 | 53 | 40.3 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Too Much Trevor (GB) won the 16:25 Chepstow at SP 11.00. Ridden by Ashley Lewis. Trained by Grace Harris.
No — the AI top pick (Ravenglass) finished 6.
Top finishers: 1. Too Much Trevor (GB) (11.00), 2. Scarfo (IRE) (10.00), 3. Ajrad (GB) (6.50).
The winning time was 1m 21.81s.
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