What time is the Bailey Family Handicap Stakes?
The Bailey Family Handicap Stakes is off at 17:00 on 16 July 2026 at Chepstow (Great Britain).
← All racecards17:00
Chepstow
Great BritainBailey Family Handicap Stakes
Thursday, 16 July 2026
6f·Flat·Class 5·8 runners·£4,187
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.048.9/100 rating
Outer Edge
—· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Racing Alpha pick
Outer Edge
Tyler Heard · Christopher Mason · 5yo
48.9/100
+1.4 vs next best (47.5)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong17d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight73strongChristopher Mason: 2/7 winners last 14d (29%)
- Form20% weight39below averageLast 6: 8-4-4-5-4
- Ratings50% weight33weakOR 50
Marketno market price available
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Pace map
inferred from last 6 runsShape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.
- Front-runners(3)
- Prominent(2)
- Mid-division(2)
- Hold-up / closers(0)—
- Unknown(1)
Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.
Runners
| # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | Best price | Add to betslip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 5yo · G · chp | 638562 | 9-09 | 68 | — | — | 44.3 | — | ||
| 2 | 2 | 4yo · F · b | 311137 | 9-09 | 68 | — | — | 47.5 | — | ||
| 3 | 6 | 7yo · M · btp | 632724 | 9-07 | 66 | — | — | 46.4 | — | ||
| 4 | 3 | 4yo · G · chb | 11470 | 9-07 | 66 | — | — | 38.6 | — | ||
| 5 | 5 | 9yo · G · grp | 12004 | 9-01 | 60 | — | — | 34.9 | — | ||
| 6 | 8 | 4yo · F · bp | 00751 | 8-11 | 56 | — | — | 47.5 | — | ||
| 7 | 7 | 9yo · G · bb | 843543 | 8-05 | 50 | — | — | 36.0 | — | ||
| 8 | 4 | 5yo · G · bp | 84454 | 8-05 | 50 | — | — | 48.9 | — |
Frequently asked questions
What is the field size and distance of the 17:00 Chepstow?
6f, Class 5, Flat, 8 runners declared.
What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:00 Chepstow?
The AI top-rated runner is Outer Edge (score 48.9). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partySerenity Dream is the clear selection in this Class 5 6f heat at Chepstow, rated well clear of this field with the most rounded profile among the contenders. Connie's Rose, Zoulu Warrior and Vape make up the chasing pack and all warrant respect as the principal dangers, while the remainder look to be racing for minor honours. Confidence is medium, with Serenity Dream's clear advantage on figures the deciding factor.
Racing Post pick: Serenity Dream
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
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