Who won the 17:30 Chepstow on 16 July 2026?
Aravalli (IRE) won the 17:30 Chepstow at SP 4.50. Ridden by Taylor Fisher. Trained by Joe Tickle.
17:30 Chepstow
Chepstow Family Fun Day 31st August Handicap Stakes
1m2f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 4 runners · £3,454 · Thursday, 16 July 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 7/2·4.50Race report
- 1stAravalli (IRE)AI top pick · 51.7Taylor Fisher·Joe Tickle7/2·4.50SP
- 2ndBumaan (GB)Billy Loughnane·George Boughey·beaten 2.5 lengths1/1F·2.00SP
- 3rdElectric Bass (GB)Owen Lewis·Roger Teal·beaten 0.1 lengths3/1·4.00SP
Race time
2m 7.99s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Aravalli (IRE))
“settled in third - asked for effort 2f out - quickened to hit the front over 1f out - ran on readily”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Aravalli
Aravalli is our selection, preferred over the top-rated Electric Bass on a progressive profile, a quick fitness turnaround and a clock that backs the form. She won last time out just eight days ago and already has today's trip covered, giving her strong claims to follow up that effort. Electric Bass, the highest-rated runner in this small field, remains the chief danger, though he is without a win in his recent starts, while Time After Time and Bumaan both carry useful recent form of their own. It's a close verdict at only medium confidence, but Aravalli's profile edges it.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Aravalli
Taylor Fisher · Joe Tickle · 3yo
Top-rated of 4
score 51.7 · +6.0 clear of next best (45.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight73small sample (n=7)Joe Tickle: 2/7 winners last 14d (29%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight70strong8d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Form20% weight51averageLast 6: 7-4-4-9-1
- Ratings50% weight40below averageOR 60 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Chepstow 1m2f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.21).
Low (1–2)
IV 1.21
Mid (3–3)
IV 1.02
High (4–4)
IV 0.76
Today: Aravalli (draw 2) and Bumaan (draw 1) get the bias; Electric Bass (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 43 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Taylor Fisher · T: Joe Tickle · draw 2 3yo · F · b | 74491 | 60 | 51.7 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 1 3yo · G · cht | 5692 | 56 | 45.7 | 1/1F·2.00 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Owen Lewis(5) · T: Roger Teal · draw 4 4yo · G · bh | 55225 | 56 | 37.6 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Luke Morris · T: Heather Main · draw 3 4yo · F · bpFT P | 11506 | 56 | 33.7 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:30 Chepstow?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Aravalli, won the race (AI score 51.7).
What were the placings in the 17:30 Chepstow?
Top finishers: 1. Aravalli (IRE) (4.50), 2. Bumaan (GB) (2.00), 3. Electric Bass (GB) (4.00).
What was the winning time for the 17:30 Chepstow?
The winning time was 2m 7.99s.
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