15:07 Downpatrick

Ireland

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2m2f · Hurdle · Good · 15 runners · €6,000 · Tuesday, 14 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner

1st
Small Bucks (IRE)
Patrick M O'Brien·P E Collins
11/1·12.00
SP
2nd
Sea Of Doubt (IRE)
Caragh Monaghan·Ian Patrick Donoghue·beaten 7.5 lengths
4/1·5.00
SP
3rd
Gortmore Lady (IRE)
Mr J Costello·Ciaran Murphy·beaten 2.75 lengths
11/1·12.00
SP

Race time

4m 10.70s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Small Bucks (IRE))

“Racing in 4th early - made headway approaching 2 out - in front after 2 out - two lengths to the good after drifting left at the last and kept on strongly”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 11.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Bryson

Bryson is the shrewd source of confidence here, preferred over the higher-rated Pahlavi on a fitness edge into this red-hot 18-runner heat. A promising second last time out marks a return to form, and with today's trip already in the book there's little standing between him and a big run. Pahlavi, Broken Ice and King Of The Greys carry the biggest claims on figures and all warrant respect, but with selection confidence low over such a deep field, Bryson is the pick on balance.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Kalsman

Reserve 1 · Liam Lennon · 8yo

Top-rated of 15

score 58.7 · +3.3 clear of next best (55.4)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
31d since last run (fresh)
Ratings50% weight
66strong
OR 99 — above field median
Trainer20% weight
50no sample
Liam Lennon — no runners last 14 days — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Form20% weight
36below average
Last 6: 6-1-9-0-3

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	4	Small Bucks J: Patrick M O'Brien(5) · T: P E Collins · draw 0 5yo · M · ch	0P740	11-08	94	—	—	52.8	11/1·12.00 SP
2	1	Sea Of Doubt J: Caragh Monaghan(7) · T: Ian Patrick Donoghue · draw 0 6yo · M · brt	51623	12-00	100	—	—	55.4	4/1·5.00 SP
3	12	Gortmore Lady J: Mr J Costello(7) · T: Ciaran Murphy · draw 0 6yo · M · bpFT P	57PB9	10-08	80	—	—	42.4	11/1·12.00 SP
4	11	Sekakarma J: Harry Sexton(7) · T: W M Roper · draw 0 9yo · G · b	0P59	10-09	81	—	—	47.8	14/1·15.00 SP
5	6	Sneddy Eddie J: Jack Kennedy · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 0 6yo · G · bh	00005	11-02	88	—	—	46.3	9/2·5.50 SP
6	2	Bryson J: Sam Ewing · T: W R Crawford · draw 0 6yo · G · bh	0B6U2	11-11	97	—	—	46.8	3/1F·4.00 SP
7	8	Trixaboutmaisie J: Sean O'Keeffe · T: Colin Bowe · draw 0 5yo · M · b	870	10-13	85	—	—	54.2	40/1·41.00 SP
8	9	Centaq J: Alix Balfe(7) · T: Dermot A McLoughlin · draw 0 6yo · G · b	R2646	10-10	82	—	—	42.5	5/1·6.00 SP
9	13	Volez Vous J: Tiernan Power Roche · T: P J Rothwell · draw 0 7yo · M · bb	P0P09	10-08	80	—	—	40.6	25/1·26.00 SP
10	3	Broken Ice J: Alex Harvey · T: John C McConnell · draw 0 10yo · G · bt	44485	11-10	96	—	—	46.6	25/1·26.00 SP
11	14	Glenriver J: Shane Fitzsimons(7) · T: Shane Crawley · draw 0 8yo · G · btFT T	PPPP	10-05	77	—	—	52.2	33/1·34.00 SP
12	7	Turkey And Ham J: Simon Torrens · T: Noel C Kelly · draw 0 8yo · M · bt	6168	11-01	87	—	—	45.4	18/1·19.00 SP
13	15	Stormy Jenn J: Josh Williamson(5) · T: P Cluskey · draw 0 9yo · M · bp	863PF	10-05	77	—	—	37.2	33/1·34.00 SP
14	10	Firstupbestdressed J: Philip Donovan · T: Gary McGill · draw 0 6yo · G · btFT T	7UU43	10-10	82	—	—	50.4	14/1·15.00 SP
15	5	My Mate Tony J: Mr L P Shanahan(7) · T: Peter McCreery · draw 0 5yo · G · bt	70P0	11-07	93	—	—	38.3	80/1·81.00 SP
—	—	Pahlavi J: Reserve 3 · T: John Joseph Hanlon · draw 0 9yo · G · btbFT TB	0655P	11-11	97	—	—	44.2	—
—	—	King Of The Greys J: Reserve 2 · T: Peter Fahey · draw 0 5yo · G · ghFT H	4088P	12-00	100	—	—	43.4	—
—	—	Kalsman J: Reserve 1 · T: Liam Lennon · draw 0 8yo · G · brh	61903	11-13	99	—	—	58.7	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:07 Downpatrick on 14 July 2026?

Small Bucks (IRE) won the 15:07 Downpatrick at SP 12.00. Ridden by Patrick M O'Brien. Trained by P E Collins.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:07 Downpatrick?

No — the AI top pick (Kalsman) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 15:07 Downpatrick?

Top finishers: 1. Small Bucks (IRE) (12.00), 2. Sea Of Doubt (IRE) (5.00), 3. Gortmore Lady (IRE) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:07 Downpatrick?

The winning time was 4m 10.70s.

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