19:24 Down Royal

Ireland

GAIN The Advantage Series Apprentice Handicap

1m5f · Flat · Good · 7 runners · €9,000 · Friday, 17 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 9/2·5.50

1st
Numidia (IRE)AI top pick · 56.2
Mel Sheridan·Peter Lawlor
9/2·5.50
SP
2nd
Masego (IRE)
Conor Cusack·John C McConnell·beaten 0.1 lengths
9/4·3.25
SP
3rd
Banana Three (IRE)
Shane Markey·Ross O'Sullivan·beaten 7.5 lengths
9/1·10.00
SP

Race time

2m 46.64s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Numidia (IRE))

“held up towards the back - fifth at halfway - up into fourth by 3f out - made headway into second over 2f out - driven into the front over 1f out - held on under a renewed challenge and needed every yard near the finish”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Banana Three

Banana Three tops our figures in this seven-runner race, though his lead over Booklight, next best on our book, is just 8 lb, and our confidence in the selection is only low. Booklight is the obvious chief danger on rating, with Rising Sky and Memories Maker also holding solid claims not far behind. Banana Three remains the selection, but this looks the sort of race that could easily throw up an upset.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Numidia

Mel Sheridan(7) · Peter Lawlor · 8yo

Top-rated of 7

score 56.2 · +6.1 clear of next best (50.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=1)
Peter Lawlor: 1/1 winners last 14d (100%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Freshness10% weight
100very strong
15d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
38below average
OR 57
Form20% weight
36below average
Last 6: 4-0-0-7-8-1

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Down Royal 1m5f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 0.92

Mid (4–5)

IV 1.31

High (6–7)

IV 0.81

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 33 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	5	Numidia J: Mel Sheridan(7) · T: Peter Lawlor · draw 3 8yo · G · bv	400781	9-01	57	—	—	56.2	9/2·5.50 SP
2	7	Masego J: Conor Cusack(4) · T: John C McConnell · draw 2 4yo · G · b	05513	8-07	47	—	—	37.0	9/4·3.25 SP
3	1	Banana Three J: Shane Markey(7) · T: Ross O'Sullivan · draw 5 6yo · G · bp	53755	10-02	72	—	—	46.2	9/1·10.00 SP
4	6	Searcog J: Julian Pietropaolo(2) · T: Patrick Magee · draw 1 4yo · F · b	12448	8-10	52	—	—	50.1	2/1F·3.00 SP
5	4	Rising Sky J: Adam Grant(7) · T: Anthony McCann · draw 6 4yo · F · btb	180307	9-03	59	—	—	30.9	5/1·6.00 SP
6	2	Booklight J: Jimmy Dalton(4) · T: J G Cosgrave · draw 4 4yo · F · ch	0430	9-13	69	—	—	36.9	25/1·26.00 SP
7	3	Memories Maker J: Shay Wallace(7) · T: Anthony McCann · draw 7 5yo · G · cht	7250	9-04	60	—	—	27.7	40/1·41.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:24 Down Royal on 17 July 2026?

Numidia (IRE) won the 19:24 Down Royal at SP 5.50. Ridden by Mel Sheridan. Trained by Peter Lawlor.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:24 Down Royal?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Numidia, won the race (AI score 56.2).

What were the placings in the 19:24 Down Royal?

Top finishers: 1. Numidia (IRE) (5.50), 2. Masego (IRE) (3.25), 3. Banana Three (IRE) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:24 Down Royal?

The winning time was 2m 46.64s.

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