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RacingAlpha

16:12 Newbury

Darley Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)

1m2f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £20,616 · Saturday, 18 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 5/6F·1.83
  1. 1st
    Miss Scott (IRE)AI top pick · 75.9
    William Buick·John & Thady Gosden
    5/6F·1.83
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Manaar (IRE)
    Tom Marquand·William Haggas·beaten 1.75 lengths
    6/5·2.20
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Aura Champagne (IRE)
    Sean Levey·Richard Hannon·beaten 3 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
Race time
2m 8.72s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Miss Scott (IRE))

In pursuit early - driven to draw level 2f out - went ahead 1f out and finished strongly

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.83 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Miss Scott

William Buick · John & Thady Gosden · 3yo

Top-rated of 5
score 75.9 · +39.9 clear of next best (36.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    John & Thady Gosden: 9/18 winners last 14d (50%)
  • Form20% weight
    85very strong
    Last 6: 1-2
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    37d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    61average
    OR 91 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 2.06 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newbury 1m2f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 1.15
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.91
High (5–5)
IV 0.92

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 109 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
3yo · F · bh
12
9175.9
5/6F·1.83
SP
21
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 1
3yo · F · b
1
36.0
6/5·2.20
SP
34
J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 2
3yo · F · b
3
23.0
11/1·12.00
SP
43
J: Darragh Keenan · T: George Scott · draw 5
3yo · F · b
6
27.0
33/1·34.00
SP
55
J: Jack Doughty · T: David Menuisier · draw 4
3yo · F · ch
64
15.8
66/1·67.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:12 Newbury on 18 July 2026?

Miss Scott (IRE) won the 16:12 Newbury at SP 1.83. Ridden by William Buick. Trained by John & Thady Gosden.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:12 Newbury?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Miss Scott, won the race (AI score 75.9).

What were the placings in the 16:12 Newbury?

Top finishers: 1. Miss Scott (IRE) (1.83), 2. Manaar (IRE) (2.20), 3. Aura Champagne (IRE) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:12 Newbury?

The winning time was 2m 8.72s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org