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16:52 Newmarket (July)

National Stud "Confined" Handicap Stakes (For Horses With No More Than One Win)

1m2f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £5,154 · Saturday, 18 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 6/4F·2.50
  1. 1st
    Madjid (GB)AI top pick · 44.7
    Cieren Fallon·Harry Charlton
    6/4F·2.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Pipily (GB)
    Ray Dawson·T J Kent·beaten 0.05 lengths
    28/1·29.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    John Harrison (GB)
    David Probert·Alan King·beaten 1.75 lengths
    15/8·2.88
    SP
Race time
2m 6.15s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Madjid (GB))

“set the pace from the front and had to fight off a determined rival inside the final furlong - just passed close home - battled back to prevail on the line”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Ziggy's Avenger

Ziggy's Avenger is the pick in this Class 5 over today's ten furlongs on good to firm, taken ahead of the top-rated Madjid on a more progressive profile despite sitting just 2 lb behind him on our figures - too narrow a gap to be decisive. Madjid, John Harrison and Moon Warp are the chief dangers, all within range of the selection on our book. Confidence in Ziggy's Avenger is medium, with that profile edge enough to prefer him to the higher-rated horse.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Madjid

Cieren Fallon · Harry Charlton · 3yo

Top-rated of 5
score 44.7 · +0.3 clear of next best (44.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    43below average
    OR 65
  • Trainer20% weight
    38below average
    Harry Charlton: 2/13 winners last 14d (15%)
  • Form20% weight
    28weak
    Last 6: 4-2-9-5-7
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.30).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.91
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.30
High (5–6)
IV 0.82

Today: Flag Of Eva (draw 3) and John Harrison (draw 4) get the bias; Madjid (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 59 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
Madjid
J: Cieren Fallon · T: Harry Charlton · draw 6
3yo · G · b
42957
6544.7
6/4F·2.50
SP
25
Pipily
J: Ray Dawson · T: T J Kent · draw 2
3yo · F · bp
9647
6341.3
28/1·29.00
SP
34
John Harrison
J: David Probert · T: Alan King · draw 4
3yo · G · b
08243
6441.1
15/8·2.88
SP
46
Moon Warp
J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 5
3yo · C · b
4080
6238.2
11/4·3.75
SP
52
Flag Of Eva
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Michael Appleby · draw 3
3yo · G · ch
663
6642.0
16/1·17.00
SP
——
Ziggy's Avenger
J: Hector Crouch · T: Michael Bell · draw 1
3yo · G · b
08315
7044.3—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:52 Newmarket (July) on 18 July 2026?

Madjid (GB) won the 16:52 Newmarket (July) at SP 2.50. Ridden by Cieren Fallon. Trained by Harry Charlton.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:52 Newmarket (July)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Madjid, won the race (AI score 44.7).

What were the placings in the 16:52 Newmarket (July)?

Top finishers: 1. Madjid (GB) (2.50), 2. Pipily (GB) (29.00), 3. John Harrison (GB) (2.88).

What was the winning time for the 16:52 Newmarket (July)?

The winning time was 2m 6.15s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org