Who won the 17:25 Newmarket (July) on 18 July 2026?
Silca Bay (GB) won the 17:25 Newmarket (July) at SP 4.00. Ridden by Oliver Carmichael. Trained by Eve Johnson Houghton.
17:25 Newmarket (July)
Lodge At The National Stud Handicap Stakes
1m · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £6,442 · Saturday, 18 July 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 3/1F·4.00Race report
- 1stSilca Bay (GB)AI top pick · 56.9Oliver Carmichael·Eve Johnson Houghton3/1F·4.00SP
- 2ndAstrazar (IRE)Hector Crouch·Ed Walker·beaten 0.2 lengths7/2·4.50SP
- 3rdElan D'or (GB)Marco Ghiani·Stuart Williams·beaten 2.75 lengths7/2·4.50SP
Race time
1m 37.82s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Silca Bay (GB))
“up with the pace early - dropped in and asked for effort after the first furlong - short of room 1f out - quickened into the last furlong - fought back to get up close home”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Mythical Guest
Mythical Guest is a narrow selection on the figures, rated 88 and just a pound to the good of both Astrazar and Rogue Encore in a tightly-knit ratings picture. Elan d'Or, four pounds back in fourth, cannot be ruled out either, and with only medium confidence in this pick the form could easily throw up a surprise. Still, on the numbers alone Mythical Guest edges it and is the selection over today's mile on good to firm.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Silca Bay
Oliver Carmichael(7) · Eve Johnson Houghton · 4yo
Top-rated of 6
score 56.9 · +1.5 clear of next best (55.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong15d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight54averageLast 6: 4-0-4-1-4
- Trainer20% weight53averageEve Johnson Houghton: 6/28 winners last 14d (21%)
- Ratings50% weight51averageOR 77
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.91
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.06
High (6–7)
IV 1.05
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Oliver Carmichael(7) · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 4 4yo · G · bp | 40414 | 77 | 56.9 | 3/1F·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 7 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Ed Walker · draw 6 3yo · G · b | 11974 | 82 | 55.4 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: Stuart Williams · draw 1 3yo · C · b | 21150 | 87 | 53.8 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Robert Havlin · T: George Margarson · draw 5 6yo · G · b | 30993 | 80 | 39.0 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: J F Egan · T: David Evans · draw 3 4yo · G · b | 17103 | 77 | 53.9 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 7 4yo · F · b | 16060 | 78 | 40.4 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Luke Morris · T: Peter Chapple-Hyam · draw 2 5yo · G · bp | 15090 | 81 | 36.0 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:25 Newmarket (July)?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Silca Bay, won the race (AI score 56.9).
What were the placings in the 17:25 Newmarket (July)?
Top finishers: 1. Silca Bay (GB) (4.00), 2. Astrazar (IRE) (4.50), 3. Elan D'or (GB) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 17:25 Newmarket (July)?
The winning time was 1m 37.82s.
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