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15:33 Redcar

Sky Bet For The Fans Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £4,711 · Sunday, 19 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Rajapour (IRE)
    Mark Winn·David O'Meara
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Yafaarr (IRE)
    Shane Gray·Sam England·beaten 2.75 lengths
    15/2·8.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Bowood (GB)
    Elle-May Croot·Ivan Furtado·beaten 2 lengths
    28/1·29.00
    SP
Race time
1m 39.14s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Rajapour (IRE))

Cruising through the early stages towards the back - made steady progress to close on the front-runner entering the final furlong - quickened into command and shot away - was never seriously challenged to the line

AI top-rated Amidst The Chaos (score 55.2) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way50.8/100 rating
Yafaarr
10.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Criminal Shore

Criminal Shore is our selection, preferred to the top-rated Nyman on a more progressive profile despite sitting five pounds behind him on our figures. Nyman himself cannot be dismissed as the highest-rated runner here, and Rajapour and Bowood add further depth to the dangers in a tightly graded Class 5 over this 8f trip. Confidence in the selection is low given how close this field rates, but Criminal Shore's profile gives him the nod.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Amidst The Chaos

Lewis Edmunds · Nigel Tinkler · 4yo

Top-rated of 7
score 55.2 · +4.4 clear of next best (50.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    73strong
    Last 6: 9-3-4-2-1-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    50average
    OR 75 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    28weak
    Nigel Tinkler: 2/18 winners last 14d (11%)
MarketBest price 3.30 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Redcar 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.06
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.98
High (6–7)
IV 0.95

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 127 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 7
6yo · G · chtp
433694
7141.1
9/2·5.50
SP
27
J: Shane Gray · T: Sam England · draw 1
4yo · G · bt
746013
6650.8
15/2·8.50
SP
33
J: Elle-May Croot(5) · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 2
6yo · G · b
75657
7446.1
28/1·29.00
SP
41
J: Joanna Mason · T: Roger Fell · draw 6
4yo · G · b
64406
7541.1
5/1·6.00
SP
52
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 5
4yo · G · chp
934212
7555.2
2/1F·3.00
SP
64
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 4
4yo · G · bv
458410
7344.1
9/2·5.50
SP
76
J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 3
5yo · G · gr
41578
6848.1
6/1·7.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:33 Redcar on 19 July 2026?

Rajapour (IRE) won the 15:33 Redcar at SP 5.50. Ridden by Mark Winn. Trained by David O'Meara.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:33 Redcar?

No — the AI top pick (Amidst The Chaos) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 15:33 Redcar?

Top finishers: 1. Rajapour (IRE) (5.50), 2. Yafaarr (IRE) (8.50), 3. Bowood (GB) (29.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:33 Redcar?

The winning time was 1m 39.14s.

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