Who won the 16:43 Redcar on 19 July 2026?
Sahm Naif (IRE) won the 16:43 Redcar at SP 3.75. Ridden by Jason Hart. Trained by James Horton.
16:43 Redcar
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1m2f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £3,402 · Sunday, 19 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stSahm Naif (IRE)Jason Hart·James Horton11/4·3.75SP
- 2ndHarswell River (IRE)Joanna Mason·Roger Fell·beaten 0.3 lengths8/1·9.00SP
- 3rdBaldosa (IRE)Lewis Edmunds·Nigel Tinkler·beaten 1.25 lengths7/4F·2.75SP
Race time
2m 6.17s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Sahm Naif (IRE))
“In command from the outset - pushed along with 3f left - shifted right when niggled along with 1f left - stayed on to narrowly prevail at the line”
AI top-rated Talking In Kode (score 45.0) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way45.0/100 rating
Talking In Kode
6.00Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Skirt Around
Skirt Around is the pick at Redcar, rated nine pounds clear of Sahm Naif on our figures over today's 10f on good to firm. Sahm Naif, Talking In Kode and Harswell River all pose danger and are fairly closely grouped behind, so this is far from a formality. Confidence in the selection is low given the size and competitiveness of this nine-runner field, but Skirt Around's rating edge makes her the one to side with.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Talking In Kode
Daniel Tudhope · Edward Bethell · 3yo
Top-rated of 8
score 45.0 · +0.7 clear of next best (44.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong17d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight55averageEdward Bethell: 7/32 winners last 14d (22%)
- Ratings50% weight37below averageOR 55
- Form20% weight29weakLast 6: 7-0-2-6-5-6
MarketBest price 6.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 8.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Redcar 1m2f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.12
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.96
High (7–9)
IV 0.91
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 56 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Jason Hart · T: James Horton · draw 6 3yo · G · bpFT P | 58741 | 60 | 40.3 | 11/4·3.75 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Roger Fell · draw 8 3yo · F · bp | 372365 | 49 | 35.9 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 2 3yo · F · b | 085241 | 51 | 44.4 | 7/4F·2.75 SP |
| 4 | 8 | J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4 3yo · F · bp | 88542 | 46 | 41.0 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Edward Bethell · draw 5 3yo · F · bp | 702656 | 55 | 45.0 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 7 3yo · G · b | 18974 | 55 | 39.0 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Barry McHugh · T: Andi Brown · draw 9 3yo · F · b | 054 | 47 | 29.2 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 8 | 9 | J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Noel Wilson · draw 3 3yo · F · bh | 97850 | 45 | 37.5 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Cam Hardie · T: Philip Kirby · draw 1 3yo · F · grpFT P | 64387 | 59 | 40.1 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:43 Redcar?
No — the AI top pick (Talking In Kode) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 16:43 Redcar?
Top finishers: 1. Sahm Naif (IRE) (3.75), 2. Harswell River (IRE) (9.00), 3. Baldosa (IRE) (2.75).
What was the winning time for the 16:43 Redcar?
The winning time was 2m 6.17s.
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