Who won the 15:40 Newton Abbot on 19 July 2026?
It's A Breeze (IRE) won the 15:40 Newton Abbot at SP 4.00. Ridden by Paddy Hanlon. Trained by Paul Nicholls.
15:40 Newton Abbot
Dick Oliver At Newton Abbot Races Handicap Steeple Chase
2m5f · Chase · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £5,017 · Sunday, 19 July 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 3/1J·4.00Race report
- 1stIt's A Breeze (IRE)AI top pick · 66.7Paddy Hanlon·Paul Nicholls3/1J·4.00SP
- 2ndEmberscombe (IRE)Miss Aimee Jones·Joe Tickle·beaten 10 lengths25/1·26.00SP
- 3rdWatchoutitscookie (IRE)David Noonan·Nigel Hawke·beaten 0.2 lengths12/1·13.00SP
Race time
5m 12.68s
Race time recorded.
In-running (It's A Breeze (IRE))
“settled behind the pace - in the pack by the 7th - up to third by the 12th - driven and hit the front after 3 out - opened a big advantage after 2 out - stayed on with plenty in hand”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Chillhi
Chillhi is our selection, preferred despite sitting just 2 lb behind The Gypsy Davey at the head of our figures, on the strength of a more progressive profile and a fitness edge. The Gypsy Davey, Chief Black Robe and It's A Breeze all warrant respect as the chief dangers, but none matches Chillhi's overall case in this Class 5 over the trip. Chillhi is the selection, with high confidence.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
It's A Breeze
Paddy Hanlon(5) · Paul Nicholls · 7yo
Top-rated of 8
score 66.7 · +11.1 clear of next best (55.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=1)Paul Nicholls: 1/1 winners last 14d (100%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight70strong6d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight61averageOR 91 — above field median
- Form20% weight47below averageLast 6: 6-F-P-4-1
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Paddy Hanlon(5) · T: Paul Nicholls · draw 0 7yo · G · bht | 6FP41 | 91 | 66.7 | 3/1J·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 8 | J: Miss Aimee Jones(7) · T: Joe Tickle · draw 0 9yo · M · br | 13146 | 69 | 54.7 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: David Noonan · T: Nigel Hawke · draw 0 8yo · G · ch | 37370 | 72 | 36.9 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Conor Ring · T: Mrs C Williams · draw 0 8yo · G · bv | 4P452 | 97 | 55.5 | 3/1J·4.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Charlie Price · T: Robbie Llewellyn · draw 0 9yo · G · bt | PP1P4 | 77 | 41.2 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| PU | 3 | J: Tom Broughton(3) · T: Fergal O'Brien · draw 0 10yo · G · chp | 2PU36 | 90 | 47.1 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| PU | 4 | J: Callum Pritchard · T: Barry John Murphy · draw 0 6yo · G · btp | 7039P | 88 | 47.3 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| PU | 7 | J: James Best · T: Jimmy Frost · draw 0 7yo · G · b | PPP53 | 69 | 47.1 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:40 Newton Abbot?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, It's A Breeze, won the race (AI score 66.7).
What were the placings in the 15:40 Newton Abbot?
Top finishers: 1. It's A Breeze (IRE) (4.00), 2. Emberscombe (IRE) (26.00), 3. Watchoutitscookie (IRE) (13.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:40 Newton Abbot?
The winning time was 5m 12.68s.
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