16:30 Killarney

Ireland

INCO Broking Maiden Hurdle

2m4½f · Hurdle · Good · 9 runners · €7,200 · Thursday, 16 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd

1st
Early Dawning (TUR)
Paul Townend·W P Mullins
2/1·3.00
SP
2nd
Tyson Fury (GB)
Daniel King·Denis Gerard Hogan·beaten 1.25 lengths
9/4·3.25
SP
3rd
Dawn Coming (IRE)AI top pick · 76.5
Phillip Enright·C Byrnes·beaten 2.25 lengths
7/4F·2.75
SP

Race time

5m 13.00s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Early Dawning (TUR))

“Handy in 5th early at halfway - made ground before 3 out - made further gains and lightly hampered before 2 out - bumped another runner soon after - narrowed the gap into 2nd 2 out - went on up the run-in and pushed out to the line”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Dawn Coming

Phillip Enright · C Byrnes · 4yo

Top-rated of 9

score 76.5 · +11.2 clear of next best (65.3)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
27d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
79strong
OR 118 — highest combined rating in the field
Form20% weight
68strong
Last 6: 3-3-2-2-3
Trainer20% weight
68strong
C Byrnes: 3/11 winners last 14d (27%)

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	3	Early Dawning J: Paul Townend · T: W P Mullins · draw 0 5yo · G · b	34	11-04	—	—	—	20.5	2/1·3.00 SP
2	1	Tyson Fury J: Daniel King · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 0 9yo · G · ch	4022	11-12	117	—	—	65.3	9/4·3.25 SP
3	7	Dawn Coming J: Phillip Enright · T: C Byrnes · draw 0 4yo · G · btFT T	33223	10-13	118	—	—	76.5	7/4F·2.75 SP
4	2	Dunaird J: Darragh O'Keeffe · T: Eugene M O'Sullivan · draw 0 7yo · G · b	2132	11-04	—	—	—	31.9	40/1·41.00 SP
5	5	Happy Me J: Alan O'Sullivan(5) · T: W J Burke · draw 0 6yo · G · b	8306P	11-04	100	—	—	44.6	7/1·8.00 SP
6	4	Grabat J: Brian Hayes · T: Philip Fenton · draw 0 5yo · G · b	0	11-04	—	—	—	18.5	150/1·151.00 SP
7	9	Roll It Roisin J: Cian Quirke · T: David Harry Kelly · draw 0 5yo · M · btFT T	P5	10-11	—	—	—	12.5	100/1·101.00 SP
8	6	Joly Saphir J: Niall Moore(5) · T: Philip Fenton · draw 0 5yo · G · ch	—	11-04	—	—	—	25.0	100/1·101.00 SP
UR	8	Eyecanboogie J: Calum Hogan(5) · T: E McNamara · draw 0 6yo · M · gt	3P06	10-11	—	—	—	11.3	80/1·81.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:30 Killarney on 16 July 2026?

Early Dawning (TUR) won the 16:30 Killarney at SP 3.00. Ridden by Paul Townend. Trained by W P Mullins.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:30 Killarney?

No — the AI top pick (Dawn Coming) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 16:30 Killarney?

Top finishers: 1. Early Dawning (TUR) (3.00), 2. Tyson Fury (GB) (3.25), 3. Dawn Coming (IRE) (2.75).

What was the winning time for the 16:30 Killarney?

The winning time was 5m 13.00s.

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