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20:00 Beverley

Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Hull Handicap Stakes

7½f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £4,004 · Monday, 20 July 2026

This race has been abandoned.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: African SpiritDiffers from our pick

African Spirit heads this field on our figures, rated 61 and narrowly ahead of these rivals after finishing third last time out. He has run over today's trip and going before, and that experience allied to the leading figure makes him the one to beat. King Sharja, Ryefield and Walk On Walk On all sit close behind on our figures and represent the biggest dangers to that plan, each within a few pounds of the selection. African Spirit is our selection, with this tightly-bunched field keeping overall confidence measured.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Alice's Influence

P J McDonald · David Evans · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 48.3 · +3.4 clear of next best (44.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    17d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    56average
    Last 6: 1-2-3-4-3-4
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    David Evans: 3/15 winners last 14d (20%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    34weak
    OR 51
MarketBest price 4.50 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Beverley 7½f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.09).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.08
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.80
High (7–9)
IV 1.09

Today: Walk On Walk On (draw 7) and Back From Dubai (draw 9) get the bias; King Sharja (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 95 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
9
J: P J McDonald · T: David Evans · draw 3
3yo · F · bbFT B
123434
5148.34/1·4.784.5·4.50
Betfair Exchange · -6% vs fair
All 32 books ▾
7
J: Ryan Sexton · T: Noel Wilson · draw 7
3yo · G · bp
064052
5244.97/1·7.777.2·7.20
Betfair Exchange · -7% vs fair
All 32 books ▾
3
J: George Wood · T: S R Bowring · draw 9
9yo · G · b
883140
5143.55/1·5.975.8·5.80
Betfair Exchange · -3% vs fair
All 32 books ▾
1
J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 6
6yo · G · b
02240
5542.45/1·5.975.5·5.50
Betfair Exchange · -8% vs fair
All 32 books ▾
2
J: Cieren Fallon · T: Ian Williams · draw 1
5yo · G · btp
8783
5337.99/2·5.385.5·5.50
Betfair Exchange · +2% vs fair
All 32 books ▾
8
J: Faye McManoman · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 4
3yo · G · bpFT P
77066
5235.833/1·34.6548·48.00
Betfair Exchange · +39% vs fair
All 32 books ▾
4
J: Rowan Scott · T: David O'Meara · draw 2
3yo · F · chh
5560
5534.822/1·22.7026·26.00
Betfair Exchange · +14% vs fair
All 32 books ▾
6
3yo · G · bvFT V
09588
5429.180/1·80.05100·100.00
Betfair Exchange · +25% vs fair
All 32 books ▾
5
J: Barry McHugh · T: Alan Brown · draw 5
4yo · G · bpFT P
00797
4824.916/1·17.9220·20.00
Betfair Exchange · +12% vs fair
All 32 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 32 bookmakers per horse with the 20% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org