20:00 Beverley
Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Hull Handicap Stakes
7½f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £4,004 · Monday, 20 July 2026
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyAfrican Spirit heads this field on our figures, rated 61 and narrowly ahead of these rivals after finishing third last time out. He has run over today's trip and going before, and that experience allied to the leading figure makes him the one to beat. King Sharja, Ryefield and Walk On Walk On all sit close behind on our figures and represent the biggest dangers to that plan, each within a few pounds of the selection. African Spirit is our selection, with this tightly-bunched field keeping overall confidence measured.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Alice's Influence
P J McDonald · David Evans · 3yo
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong17d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight56averageLast 6: 1-2-3-4-3-4
- Trainer20% weight50averageDavid Evans: 3/15 winners last 14d (20%)
- Ratings50% weight34weakOR 51
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Pace map
inferred from last 6 runsShape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.
- Front-runners(2)
- Prominent(4)
- Mid-division(2)
- Hold-up / closers(1)
Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.
Draw bias — Beverley 7½f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.09).
Today: Walk On Walk On (draw 7) and Back From Dubai (draw 9) get the bias; King Sharja (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 95 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by AI score
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 32 bookmakers per horse with the 20% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org