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15:42 Cartmel

RF Miller & Co Handicap Steeple Chase (GBB Race)

3m1½f · Chase · Class 4 · Good · 3 runners · £4,991 · Monday, 20 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 4/5F·1.80
  1. 1st
    Stratagem (FR)AI top pick · 67.3
    Mr J P Murray·Mickey Bowen
    4/5F·1.80
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Slaney Opera (IRE)
    Harry Reed·Nick Scholfield·beaten 3 lengths
    2/1·3.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Le Malin (FR)
    Mr N McParlan·S McParlan·beaten 2 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
Race time
6m 56.21s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Stratagem (FR))

settled in third early - made ground on the pace approaching 2 out - three lengths off the front turning into the straight - quickened smartly on the inner from 1f out - hit the front inside the final 110yds and pulled clear to score

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.80 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Stratagem

Stratagem is the one to beat in this four-runner Class 4 over the marathon 26f trip at Cartmel, his rating of 112 giving him a narrow edge at the head of the field. Le Malin, only a pound behind on 111, is the obvious danger and cannot be dismissed on these figures. Sean Og and Slaney Opera make up the numbers, both a good way adrift on 101 and 95 respectively. Stratagem, narrowly the best of these on rating, is the selection with real confidence.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Stratagem

Mr J P Murray(7) · Mickey Bowen · 10yo

Top-rated of 3
score 67.3 · +1.6 clear of next best (65.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    24d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    80very strong
    OR 120 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    71strong
    Last 6: 1-4-3-1-3
  • Trainer20% weight
    15weak
    Mickey Bowen: 1/16 winners last 14d (6%)
MarketBest price 2.00 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Mr J P Murray(7) · T: Mickey Bowen · draw 0
10yo · G · grtp
14313
12067.3
4/5F·1.80
SP
25
J: Harry Reed · T: Nick Scholfield · draw 0
8yo · G · chtb
3435F
9655.0
2/1·3.00
SP
34
J: Mr N McParlan(3) · T: S McParlan · draw 0
12yo · G · bay f.
87351
9956.7
7/2·4.50
SP
J: Jonathon Bewley · T: George Bewley · draw 0
9yo · G · al fonce
RRPR
11746.0
J: Sean Quinlan · T: Dianne Sayer · draw 0
8yo · G · b
74141
10765.6

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:42 Cartmel on 20 July 2026?

Stratagem (FR) won the 15:42 Cartmel at SP 1.80. Ridden by Mr J P Murray. Trained by Mickey Bowen.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:42 Cartmel?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Stratagem, won the race (AI score 67.3).

What were the placings in the 15:42 Cartmel?

Top finishers: 1. Stratagem (FR) (1.80), 2. Slaney Opera (IRE) (3.00), 3. Le Malin (FR) (4.50).

What was the winning time for the 15:42 Cartmel?

The winning time was 6m 56.21s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org