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RacingAlpha

14:00 Ayr

Racing tv.com/freetrial EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 2 runners · £5,400 · Monday, 20 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 1/3F·1.33
  1. 1st
    Great Oak (IRE)AI top pick · 24.5
    Clifford Lee·K. R. Burke
    1/3F·1.33
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Star People (FR)
    Jason Hart·John & Sean Quinn·beaten 0.3 lengths
    9/4·3.25
    SP
Race time
1m 15.06s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Great Oak (IRE))

“tracked the front-runner - driven to share the front 2f out - stayed on in the final furlong to get up in the final strides”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Great Oak

Clifford Lee · K. R. Burke · 2yo

Top-rated of 2
score 24.5 · +2.0 clear of next best (22.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    50average
    Last 6: first run
  • Freshness10% weight
    50average
    no recent-run data
  • Trainer20% weight
    48below average
    K. R. Burke: 7/36 winners last 14d (19%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–1)
IV 1.24
Mid (2–2)
IV 0.98
High (3–3)
IV 0.75

Today: Great Oak (draw 1) gets the bias; Mollisha (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 122 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 1
2yo · C · b
——24.5
1/3F·1.33
SP
22
J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 2
2yo · G · b
05
—22.5
9/4·3.25
SP
——
J: Ben Robinson · T: Brian Ellison · draw 3
2yo · F · b
——20.5—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:00 Ayr on 20 July 2026?

Great Oak (IRE) won the 14:00 Ayr at SP 1.33. Ridden by Clifford Lee. Trained by K. R. Burke.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:00 Ayr?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Great Oak, won the race (AI score 24.5).

What were the placings in the 14:00 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Great Oak (IRE) (1.33), 2. Star People (FR) (3.25).

What was the winning time for the 14:00 Ayr?

The winning time was 1m 15.06s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org