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15:30 Ayr

Fergie & Myra Happel Ayr Gold Cup Trial Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £15,462 · Monday, 20 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Jordan Electrics (GB)
    Paul Mulrennan·Jim Goldie
    11/4F·3.75
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Lord Roxby (IRE)
    Alex Jary·Nigel Tinkler·beaten .75 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Veblen Good (IRE)AI top pick · 51.8
    Daniel Tudhope·David O'Meara·beaten 1.25 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
Race time
1m 9.78s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Jordan Electrics (GB))

set the pace from the start - driven along 2f out - faced a short-lived challenge for the front - stayed on well in the final furlong to assert to the line

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way51.8/100 rating
Veblen Good
4.90Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Veblen Good

Veblen Good is our selection at Ayr, though barely so - Jordan Electrics is only a single point behind on our figures, with a third last time out for form. Lord Roxby and Gentle George have both landed a win among their recent starts, adding to a genuinely competitive book. With so little between the principals, confidence is low, but Veblen Good's own third last time out, and a win three starts back before that, edge it.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Veblen Good

Daniel Tudhope · David O'Meara · 4yo

Top-rated of 9
score 51.8 · +0.2 clear of next best (51.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    59average
    OR 89 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    43below average
    Last 6: 6-7-1-0-3
  • Trainer20% weight
    18weak
    David O'Meara: 3/44 winners last 14d (7%)
MarketBest price 4.90 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.24
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.98
High (7–9)
IV 0.75

Today: Lord Roxby (draw 3) and Clonmacash (draw 1) get the bias; Jordan Electrics (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 122 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 7
10yo · G · bpFT P
695483
8245.1
11/4F·3.75
SP
22
J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 3
4yo · G · b
90145
8351.6
7/2·4.50
SP
31
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 6
4yo · G · b
67103
8951.8
7/2·4.50
SP
48
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 8
4yo · F · ch
230044
7040.9
8/1·9.00
SP
59
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Linda Perratt · draw 9
7yo · G · bb
10050
6935.9
33/1·34.00
SP
65
4yo · G · b
35016
7646.6
10/1·11.00
SP
76
J: Clifford Lee · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 1
5yo · G · bv
953543
7343.9
8/1·9.00
SP
87
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 2
5yo · G · b
305074
7142.4
16/1·17.00
SP
93
J: Jason Hart · T: R Mike Smith · draw 5
3yo · C · b
16009
8745.3
18/1·19.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:30 Ayr on 20 July 2026?

Jordan Electrics (GB) won the 15:30 Ayr at SP 3.75. Ridden by Paul Mulrennan. Trained by Jim Goldie.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:30 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Veblen Good) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 15:30 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Jordan Electrics (GB) (3.75), 2. Lord Roxby (IRE) (4.50), 3. Veblen Good (IRE) (4.50).

What was the winning time for the 15:30 Ayr?

The winning time was 1m 9.78s.

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