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18:10

Ballinrobe

Ireland

Download The Tote App Handicap

Monday, 20 July 2026

1m1½f·Flat·Good To Yielding·9 runners·€7,200
Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Nephin Mountain (IRE)
    Terry Casey·Michael Mulvany
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Aquilla Star (IRE)
    Siobhan Rutledge·John C McConnell·beaten 0.3 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Connova (IRE)
    Chris Hayes·Ms Sheila Lavery·beaten .5 lengths
    5/6F·1.83
    SP
Race time
2m 6.07s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Nephin Mountain (IRE))

raced up with the pace on the inside - went to the front on the inside 2f out - soon driven - bumped as another drew level approaching 1f out - kept finding more to regain the advantage - drifted left close home

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.044.2/100 rating
John La Bear
· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1
No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Each-way38.1/100 rating
Divine Believer
6.80Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

John La Bear

Donagh O'Connor · Ross O'Sullivan · 3yo

44.2/100
+6.1 vs next best (38.1)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    47below average
    Last 6: 0-4-4-1-7
  • Ratings50% weight
    43below average
    OR 64
  • Trainer20% weight
    18weak
    Ross O'Sullivan: 1/15 winners last 14d (7%)
Marketno market price available

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners

Pos#DrHorseJockey / TrainerFormWtORRPRTSAISP
9211
3yo · G · b
900
9-126428.5
50/1·51.00
SP
744
3yo · F · b
00778
9-116338.1
4/1·5.00
SP
455
3yo · F · ch
6859
9-116335.1
25/1·26.00
SP
279
3yo · F · b
00727
9-106234.9
12/1·13.00
SP
683
3yo · F · b
760
9-096136.7
16/1·17.00
SP
191
3yo · G · ch
048405
8-135133.6
11/2·6.50
SP
5108
3yo · F · bpFT P
0009
8-104830.0
18/1·19.00
SP
3112
3yo · F · ch
60043
8-074531.7
5/6F·1.83
SP
8137
3yo · F · bp
996045
8-074024.9
14/1·15.00
SP
13
3yo · G · bh
000881
9-116334.6
6
3yo · G · bt
04417
9-126444.2
12
3yo · F · cht
096709
8-074530.6
10
3yo · F · bp
787
10-006631.7

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:10 Ballinrobe on 20 July 2026?

Nephin Mountain (IRE) won the 18:10 Ballinrobe at SP 6.50. Ridden by Terry Casey. Trained by Michael Mulvany.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:10 Ballinrobe?

No — the AI top pick (John La Bear) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 18:10 Ballinrobe?

Top finishers: 1. Nephin Mountain (IRE) (6.50), 2. Aquilla Star (IRE) (13.00), 3. Connova (IRE) (1.83).

What was the winning time for the 18:10 Ballinrobe?

The winning time was 2m 6.07s.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

John La Bear is preferred to the head of our ratings on a progressive profile, having won two starts back off the back of a pair of fourths, with only a below-par effort last time out against him. He has run over today's distance and going, which counts in his favour. Connova, Aquilla Star and Divine Believer are the chief dangers, with Connova the pick of them on figures. It's a selection with medium confidence in a competitive 13-runner field.

Racing Post pick: John La Bear

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

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