Who won the 18:10 Ballinrobe on 20 July 2026?
Nephin Mountain (IRE) won the 18:10 Ballinrobe at SP 6.50. Ridden by Terry Casey. Trained by Michael Mulvany.
18:10 Ballinrobe
IrelandDownload The Tote App Handicap
1m1½f · Flat · Good To Yielding · 9 runners · €7,200 · Monday, 20 July 2026
Result
AI top pick was a non-runnerRace report
- 1stNephin Mountain (IRE)Terry Casey·Michael Mulvany11/2·6.50SP
- 2ndAquilla Star (IRE)Siobhan Rutledge·John C McConnell·beaten 0.3 lengths12/1·13.00SP
- 3rdConnova (IRE)Chris Hayes·Ms Sheila Lavery·beaten .5 lengths5/6F·1.83SP
Race time
2m 6.07s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Nephin Mountain (IRE))
“raced up with the pace on the inside - went to the front on the inside 2f out - soon driven - bumped as another drew level approaching 1f out - kept finding more to regain the advantage - drifted left close home”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: John La Bear
John La Bear is preferred to the head of our ratings on a progressive profile, having won two starts back off the back of a pair of fourths, with only a below-par effort last time out against him. He has run over today's distance and going, which counts in his favour. Connova, Aquilla Star and Divine Believer are the chief dangers, with Connova the pick of them on figures. It's a selection with medium confidence in a competitive 13-runner field.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
John La Bear
Donagh O'Connor · Ross O'Sullivan · 3yo
Top-rated of 9
score 44.2 · +6.1 clear of next best (38.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong19d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight47below averageLast 6: 0-4-4-1-7
- Ratings50% weight43below averageOR 64
- Trainer20% weight18weakRoss O'Sullivan: 1/15 winners last 14d (7%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ballinrobe 1m1½f
full course data →Sample too small to call at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 0.91
Mid (6–9)
IV 0.45
High (10–13)
IV 1.58
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 38 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | J: Terry Casey(7) · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 1 3yo · G · ch | 048405 | 51 | 33.6 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 2 | 7 | J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: John C McConnell · draw 9 3yo · F · b | 00727 | 62 | 34.9 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 3 | 11 | J: Chris Hayes · T: Ms Sheila Lavery · draw 2 3yo · F · ch | 60043 | 45 | 31.7 | 5/6F·1.83 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Max Popan(10) · T: K J Condon · draw 5 3yo · F · ch | 6859 | 63 | 35.1 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 5 | 10 | J: Nathan Crosse · T: Ciaran Murphy · draw 8 3yo · F · bpFT P | 0009 | 48 | 30.0 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 6 | 8 | J: Ben Coen · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 3 3yo · F · b | 760 | 61 | 36.7 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: Colin Keane · T: Henry De Bromhead · draw 4 3yo · F · b | 00778 | 63 | 38.1 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 8 | 13 | J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: Thomas Dowling · draw 7 3yo · F · bp | 996045 | 40 | 24.9 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 9 | 2 | J: Rory Cleary · T: K A Heffernan · draw 11 3yo · G · b | 900 | 64 | 28.5 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Gavin Ryan · T: Alan McIntyre · draw 13 3yo · G · bh | 000881 | 63 | 34.6 | — |
| — | — | J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Ross O'Sullivan · draw 6 3yo · G · bt | 04417 | 64 | 44.2 | — |
| — | — | J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 12 3yo · F · cht | 096709 | 45 | 30.6 | — |
| — | — | J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 10 3yo · F · bp | 787 | 66 | 31.7 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:10 Ballinrobe?
No — the AI top pick (John La Bear) was a non-runner or unplaced.
What were the placings in the 18:10 Ballinrobe?
Top finishers: 1. Nephin Mountain (IRE) (6.50), 2. Aquilla Star (IRE) (13.00), 3. Connova (IRE) (1.83).
What was the winning time for the 18:10 Ballinrobe?
The winning time was 2m 6.07s.
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