Who won the 18:40 Ballinrobe on 20 July 2026?
Lady Arwen (GB) won the 18:40 Ballinrobe at SP 11.00. Ridden by W J Lee. Trained by Conor O'Dwyer.
18:40 Ballinrobe
IrelandDaily Sports Special At Tote.ie Handicap
1m1½f · Flat · Good To Yielding · 12 runners · €7,200 · Monday, 20 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stLady Arwen (GB)W J Lee·Conor O'Dwyer10/1·11.00SP
- 2ndElusive Duke (IRE)Colin Keane·M A Molloy·beaten 1.25 lengths3/1F·4.00SP
- 3rdNibras Rainbow (IRE)Leigh Roche·Paul W Flynn·beaten 3 lengths100/30·4.33SP
Race time
2m 5.47s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Lady Arwen (GB))
“dwelt early - held up towards the back and pulled hard - made ground on the outside into 7th 3f out - asked for effort in 3rd 2f out - driven to the front 1f out and kept finding more”
AI top-rated Loingseoir (score 48.5) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 10.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Loingseoir
Loingseoir is a moderate selection on our figures for this 13-runner test over 10 furlongs at Ballinrobe, rated just three pounds clear of a pair of established dangers in Lady Chartwell and Bucaneer's Spirit. It's a competitive race, hence only medium confidence, with several runners clustered close together on our figures. Signor Ferrari, not far behind that leading trio, adds to the depth and cannot be ruled out either. Loingseoir remains our selection, but this is more a case of picking the head of a well-matched field than a standout.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Loingseoir
Jack Cleary(5) · M C Grassick · 10yo
Top-rated of 12
score 48.5 · +0.8 clear of next best (47.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight70strong12d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Trainer20% weight63small sample (n=4)M C Grassick: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Ratings50% weight46below averageOR 69 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight30weakLast 6: 9-7-4-4-6
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ballinrobe 1m1½f
full course data →Sample too small to call at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 0.91
Mid (6–9)
IV 0.45
High (10–13)
IV 1.58
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 38 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | J: W J Lee · T: Conor O'Dwyer · draw 9 7yo · M · b | 00160 | 61 | 33.9 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Colin Keane · T: M A Molloy · draw 7 4yo · G · gpFT P | 37227 | 62 | 37.1 | 3/1F·4.00 SP |
| 3 | 11 | J: Leigh Roche · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 8 6yo · G · bb | 601321 | 57 | 47.8 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: M C Grassick · draw 5 10yo · G · bt | 97446 | 69 | 48.5 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 4 4yo · F · btp | 35996 | 62 | 31.2 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 6 | 9 | J: Chris Hayes · T: P J F Murphy · draw 12 5yo · G · b | 16743 | 61 | 31.7 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: Ben Coen · T: Peter Fahey · draw 11 4yo · F · b | 34243 | 61 | 38.9 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 8 | 12 | J: Jimmy Dalton(7) · T: Thomas Mullins · draw 6 4yo · F · bp | 00160 | 52 | 30.9 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 9 | 2 | J: Sam Coen(5) · T: Ian Patrick Donoghue · draw 13 5yo · G · btp | 063342 | 68 | 43.6 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 10 | 6 | J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 3 5yo · G · bbFT B | 00000 | 61 | 30.8 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 11 | 10 | J: Robbie Colgan · T: Peter McCreery · draw 1 10yo · G · b | 80305 | 59 | 31.2 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 12 | 3 | J: Luke McAteer · T: P Sweeney · draw 2 4yo · F · b | 50000 | 65 | 29.1 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: M Flannery · draw 10 4yo · F · gt | 04005 | 47 | 28.9 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:40 Ballinrobe?
No — the AI top pick (Loingseoir) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 18:40 Ballinrobe?
Top finishers: 1. Lady Arwen (GB) (11.00), 2. Elusive Duke (IRE) (4.00), 3. Nibras Rainbow (IRE) (4.33).
What was the winning time for the 18:40 Ballinrobe?
The winning time was 2m 5.47s.
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