Who won the 14:45 Nottingham on 21 July 2026?
Nymphaea (GB) won the 14:45 Nottingham at SP 3.75. Ridden by Jude Fernandes. Trained by Jennie Candlish.
14:45 Nottingham
£9 Racedays At Nottingham Racecourse "Hands And Heels" Apprentice Classified Stakes (Part Of Racing Excellence)
1m2f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £3,140 · Tuesday, 21 July 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stNymphaea (GB)Jude Fernandes·Jennie Candlish11/4F·3.75SP
- 2ndCharencey (IRE)Toby Moore·Ian Williams·beaten 0.3 lengths3/1·4.00SP
- 3rdMyna (IRE)AI top pick · 44.6Matthew Lloyd Slater·Tony Carroll·beaten 2.75 lengths7/2·4.50SP
Race time
2m 18.54s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Nymphaea (GB))
“sat behind the front pair - roused 2f out - quickened through the final furlong to hit the front close home”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Myna
Myna is our selection, preferred to the higher-rated Charencey on a more progressive profile through his recent starts. Charencey, narrowly ahead on our figures, and Nymphaea, below-form last time out, both look the main dangers, with Hello Garda also open to include after his latest efforts. Confidence is low in a moderate contest, but Myna's overall picture edges it.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Myna
Matthew Lloyd Slater · Tony Carroll · 5yo
Top-rated of 6
score 44.6 · +1.1 clear of next best (43.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong14d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight61averageLast 6: 3-6-1-4-4-2
- Trainer20% weight33weakTony Carroll: 5/38 winners last 14d (13%)
- Ratings50% weight32weakOR 48
MarketBest price 4.70 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 6.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Nottingham 1m2f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 0.91
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.99
High (5–6)
IV 1.11
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 196 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Jude Fernandes · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 1 4yo · F · bp | 643215 | 49 | 43.5 | 11/4F·3.75 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Toby Moore · T: Ian Williams · draw 5 6yo · G · chtv | 56576 | 50 | 34.9 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Matthew Lloyd Slater · T: Tony Carroll · draw 6 5yo · G · bh | 361442 | 48 | 44.6 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Kyle McHugh · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 4 3yo · F · bpFT P | 9409 | 47 | 31.6 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Finlay Bassett(7) · T: John Joseph Hanlon · draw 2 3yo · G · chp | 80042 | 50 | 31.4 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Joe Bradnam · T: Michael Bell · draw 3 4yo · G · bv | 177522 | 49 | 36.8 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:45 Nottingham?
No — the AI top pick (Myna) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 14:45 Nottingham?
Top finishers: 1. Nymphaea (GB) (3.75), 2. Charencey (IRE) (4.00), 3. Myna (IRE) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 14:45 Nottingham?
The winning time was 2m 18.54s.
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