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RacingAlpha

18:51 Salisbury

Kinross British EBF Novice Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £5,940 · Tuesday, 21 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Gentle Hurricane (IRE)
    Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Soldier Of The Sea (IRE)AI top pick · 40.0
    Taylor Fisher·William Knight·beaten 1.5 lengths
    6/4F·2.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    High Tower (GB)
    Billy Loughnane·George Boughey·beaten 4 lengths
    9/4·3.25
    SP
Race time
1m 16.23s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Gentle Hurricane (IRE))

Handy in the early stages - urged forward to hit the front approaching the final furlong - challenged inside the last but found extra to prevail close home

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Soldier Of The Sea

Taylor Fisher · William Knight · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 40.0 · +12.5 clear of next best (27.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    100very strong
    Last 6: 1
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    William Knight: 4/20 winners last 14d (20%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 2.88 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 5.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Salisbury 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.14).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.97
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.88
High (5–6)
IV 1.14

Today: Gentle Hurricane (draw 5) and Bollengo Boy (draw 6) get the bias; Soldier Of The Sea (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 93 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5
2yo · C · b
25.0
4/1·5.00
SP
21
J: Taylor Fisher · T: William Knight · draw 3
2yo · C · b
1
40.0
6/4F·2.50
SP
35
J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 1
2yo · C · gr
27.5
9/4·3.25
SP
44
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 4
2yo · C · b
8
23.0
15/2·8.50
SP
56
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Richard Hughes · draw 2
2yo · C · ch
21.5
11/1·12.00
SP
2yo · G · ch
87
22.2

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:51 Salisbury on 21 July 2026?

Gentle Hurricane (IRE) won the 18:51 Salisbury at SP 5.00. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Andrew Balding.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:51 Salisbury?

No — the AI top pick (Soldier Of The Sea) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 18:51 Salisbury?

Top finishers: 1. Gentle Hurricane (IRE) (5.00), 2. Soldier Of The Sea (IRE) (2.50), 3. High Tower (GB) (3.25).

What was the winning time for the 18:51 Salisbury?

The winning time was 1m 16.23s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org