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RacingAlpha

19:21 Salisbury

Seamus Mullins Racing / Roger Jowett Memorial British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £5,940 · Tuesday, 21 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 2/7F·1.29
  1. 1st
    Topaz (IRE)AI top pick · 48.1
    Billy Loughnane·Jack Channon
    2/7F·1.29
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Silver Sovereign (GB)
    Kieran Shoemark·Clive Cox·beaten 2 lengths
    13/2·7.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Lola De Valence (IRE)
    Oisin Murphy·Rod Millman·beaten 4.75 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
Race time
1m 14.96s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Topaz (IRE))

“Led throughout from the start - roused for effort and drifted about in the final furlong - held on well for the win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.29 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Topaz

Billy Loughnane · Jack Channon · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 48.1 · +9.6 clear of next best (38.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    55average
    OR 83 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    52average
    Last 6: 2-0-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    0weak
    Jack Channon: 0/16 winners last 14d (0%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Salisbury 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.14).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.97
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.88
High (6–7)
IV 1.14

Today: Topaz (draw 7) and Silver Sovereign (draw 6) get the bias; Lola De Valence (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 93 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Jack Channon · draw 7
2yo · F · b
202
8348.1
2/7F·1.29
SP
26
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Clive Cox · draw 6
2yo · F · b
——21.5
13/2·7.50
SP
35
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Rod Millman · draw 5
2yo · F · gr
——26.0
9/1·10.00
SP
44
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 2
2yo · F · b
7
—22.5
12/1·13.00
SP
53
J: Ashley Lewis(5) · T: John Gallagher · draw 4
2yo · F · ch
——15.0
50/1·51.00
SP
——
J: Jamie Spencer · T: Michael Bell · draw 1
2yo · F · b
7
—14.0—
——
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 3
2yo · F · b
1
—38.5—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:21 Salisbury on 21 July 2026?

Topaz (IRE) won the 19:21 Salisbury at SP 1.29. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by Jack Channon.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:21 Salisbury?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Topaz, won the race (AI score 48.1).

What were the placings in the 19:21 Salisbury?

Top finishers: 1. Topaz (IRE) (1.29), 2. Silver Sovereign (GB) (7.50), 3. Lola De Valence (IRE) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:21 Salisbury?

The winning time was 1m 14.96s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org