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18:08 Leopardstown

Ireland

Saudi Cup Silver Flash Stakes (Group 3)

7½f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 6 runners · €42,000 · Thursday, 23 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Alpha (IRE)
    Ryan Moore·A P O'Brien
    1/6F·1.17
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Dancing Destiny (IRE)AI top pick · 70.8
    Declan McDonogh·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten 0.2 lengths
    20/1·21.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Nevermindtherain (IRE)
    Wayne Lordan·A P O'Brien·beaten 1.25 lengths
    25/1·26.00
    SP
Race time
1m 26.48s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Alpha (IRE))

stumbled leaving the stalls and not fluent early - soon 4th and travelling with ease early - 3rd approaching the straight - sent forward in 2nd and reeled in the front-runner over 1f out - hit the front early in the last furlong - driven and drifted left final 100 yards - found plenty - had to battle hard in the last strides for the verdict

Settled · 1pt level stake = 20.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way44.5/100 rating
Blonde Over Blue
9.50Betfred
Place portion settles at 3.13 · 1/4 odds · 2 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Green Empress

Green Empress leads our figures on 94, a full 8 lb to the good of Blonde Over Blue in second. She was runner-up in each of her last two starts, a strongly placed profile that puts her right in this. Blonde Over Blue, Alpha and Dancing Destiny all have claims of their own — Blonde Over Blue is a fresh last-time-out winner, Alpha won last time out having been runner-up before that, and Dancing Destiny has won twice in her last four starts — so this looks competitive. Green Empress is the selection on figures, though with the field tightly bunched our confidence in her is only low.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Dancing Destiny

Declan McDonogh · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 2yo

Top-rated of 6
score 70.8 · +18.9 clear of next best (51.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    80very strong
    Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 19/59 winners last 14d (32%)
  • Form20% weight
    76strong
    Last 6: 1-3-4-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    59average
    OR 89 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 34.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Leopardstown 7½f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.16
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.88
High (7–8)
IV 0.94

Today: Dancing Destiny (draw 3) and Alpine Wedding (draw 1) get the bias; Nevermindtherain (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 180 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 5
2yo · F · b
21
33.0
1/6F·1.17
SP
25
2yo · F · b
1341
8970.8
20/1·21.00
SP
37
J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 4
2yo · F · bpFT P
553
8551.8
25/1·26.00
SP
43
2yo · F · b
1
44.5
9/2·5.50
SP
58
2yo · F · b
55
22.5
125/1·126.00
SP
64
J: Colin Keane · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 2
2yo · F · b
21.5
66/1·67.00
SP
J: W J Lee · T: P Twomey · draw 1
2yo · F · ch
53
27.0
2yo · F · b
22
41.6

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:08 Leopardstown on 23 July 2026?

Alpha (IRE) won the 18:08 Leopardstown at SP 1.17. Ridden by Ryan Moore. Trained by A P O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:08 Leopardstown?

No — the AI top pick (Dancing Destiny) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 18:08 Leopardstown?

Top finishers: 1. Alpha (IRE) (1.17), 2. Dancing Destiny (IRE) (21.00), 3. Nevermindtherain (IRE) (26.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:08 Leopardstown?

The winning time was 1m 26.48s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org