Who won the 18:43 Leopardstown on 23 July 2026?
Florida Bay (IRE) won the 18:43 Leopardstown at SP 4.50. Ridden by Wayne Lordan. Trained by A P O'Brien.
18:43 Leopardstown
IrelandJapan Racing Association Tyros Stakes (Group 3)
7½f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 6 runners · €42,000 · Thursday, 23 July 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 7/2·4.50Race report
- 1stFlorida Bay (IRE)AI top pick · 59.3Wayne Lordan·A P O'Brien7/2·4.50SP
- 2ndFolsom Blues (IRE)Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten 1.25 lengths6/4F·2.50SP
- 3rdNail House (IRE)J M Sheridan·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten 0.2 lengths16/1·17.00SP
Race time
1m 25.81s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Florida Bay (IRE))
“set every stride from the front - two lengths clear at halfway - sent forward 2f out - driven over 1f out - margin narrowed early in the last furlong but found plenty”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Florida Bay
Florida Bay heads our figures on 88, narrowly ahead of Aix La Chapelle on 85. He was fourth last time out, having won two starts back, and with today's trip and going both proven he looks capable of bouncing back to that form. Aix La Chapelle is himself a fresh last-time-out winner, and Folsom Blues was also successful last time out — both pose obvious threats — while Nail House adds a further complication with a recent win of his own. Florida Bay remains the selection, and with reasonable form in depth behind him our confidence is medium.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Florida Bay
Wayne Lordan · A P O'Brien · 2yo
Top-rated of 6
score 59.3 · +13.3 clear of next best (46.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong19d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight66strongLast 6: 3-1-4
- Ratings50% weight63averageOR 95 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight23weakA P O'Brien: 4/44 winners last 14d (9%)
MarketBest price 6.00 (Betfred) · 3rd in the market of 6.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Leopardstown 7½f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–2)
IV 1.16
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.88
High (5–6)
IV 0.94
Today: Nail House (draw 2) and Tio Joao (draw 1) get the bias; Aix La Chapelle (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 180 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 5 2yo · C · b | 314 | 95 | 59.3 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 6 2yo · C · b | 31 | — | 41.8 | 6/4F·2.50 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 2 2yo · C · ch | 1 | — | 46.0 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 3 2yo · C · b | 1 | — | 33.0 | 13/8·2.62 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 4 2yo · C · b | 3 | — | 28.5 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: W J Lee · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 1 2yo · C · b | — | — | 21.5 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:43 Leopardstown?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Florida Bay, won the race (AI score 59.3).
What were the placings in the 18:43 Leopardstown?
Top finishers: 1. Florida Bay (IRE) (4.50), 2. Folsom Blues (IRE) (2.50), 3. Nail House (IRE) (17.00).
What was the winning time for the 18:43 Leopardstown?
The winning time was 1m 25.81s.
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