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15:00 York

Feature

Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2)

6f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Soft · 11 runners · £141,775 · Friday, 21 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 4 · score 69.7 · +1.0 clear of next best · best 28/1·29.00

Drawn 4, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus
18.5·18.50 Betfair Exchange · +13% vs fair (consensus 16.36)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way63.6/100 rating
Adaay of Scarlett
5.90Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Final Objective

James Doyle · Hamad Al Jehani · 2yo

Top-rated of 12
score 69.7 · +1.0 clear of next best (68.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=3)
    Hamad Al Jehani: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    7d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    67strong
    OR 100
  • Form20% weight
    64average
    Last 6: 2-7-4-1
MarketBest price 29.00 (Bet Victor) · 10th in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — York 6f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.37).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.37
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.90
High (9–12)
IV 0.69

Today: Final Objective (draw 4) and Hell Of A Spin (draw 1) get the bias; Never Enough (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 137 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
4
J: James Doyle · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 4 · combo 4/23 (17%)
2yo · G · chOn last winning markD
2741
10069.733/1·35.4528/1·29.00
Bet Victor · -18% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
3
J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 5 · combo 8/87 (9%)
2yo · G · bDOnly rideOnly runner
111
10468.74/1·4.773.95·3.95
Betfair Exchange · -17% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
6
J: M. P. Sheehy · T: Adrian Keatley · draw 1 · combo 9/58 (16%)
2yo · C · b
213
10068.616/1·17.7216.5·16.50
Betfair Exchange · -7% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
2
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Richard Hughes · draw 2
2yo · C · bOnly runner
61832
10463.916/1·16.3618.5·18.50
Betfair Exchange · +13% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
1
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 3 · combo 7/39 (18%)
2yo · C · bpFT P
112222
10663.613/2·7.505.9·5.90
Betfair Exchange · -21% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
11
J: William Buick · T: Ed Walker · draw 9
2yo · C · bDOnly pairing
21
8662.216/1·16.3616.5·16.50
Matchbook
All 29 books ▾
10
2yo · C · brOnly pairing
33
9761.320/1·20.4516/1·17.00
Bet Victor · -17% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
J: Tom Marquand · T: George Scott · draw 10 · combo 1/7 (14%)
2yo · C · bDOnly pairing
218
10260.38/1·8.8611/2·6.50
7Bet · -27% vs fair
All 8 books ▾
8
J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 8 · combo 4/61 (7%)
2yo · C · b
11
9158.820/1·20.4518·18.00
Matchbook · -12% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
12
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 11
2yo · C · bOnly runner
7124
9257.3100/1·110.4395·95.00
Matchbook · -14% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
5
J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 6 · combo 25/103 (24%)
2yo · C · bDOnly pairing
1
41.028/1·28.6328/1·29.00
talkSPORT BET
All 29 books ▾
7
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 7 · combo 31/91 (34%)
2yo · C · ch
2
34.14/1·5.117/2·4.50
talkSPORT BET · -12% vs fair
All 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 8–29 bookmakers per horse with the 36% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2)?

The Al Basti Equiworld Dubai Gimcrack Stakes (Group 2) is off at 15:00 on 21 August 2026 at York (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:00 York?

6f, Class 1, Flat, 11 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:00 York?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:00 York?

The AI top-rated runner is Final Objective (score 69.7, best price 29.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:00 York?

The market favourite is Arapaho Gold at a best price of 3.95. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Final Objective.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org