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16:40

Ascot

Great Britain

Chapel Down Handicap Stakes

Friday, 24 July 2026

7f·Flat·Class 4·Good To Firm·11 runners·£13,425
Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Tex (FR)
    Pat Cosgrave·George Baker
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Havana Blue (GB)
    Callum Rodriguez·Julie Camacho·beaten 1.5 lengths
    9/4F·3.25
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Gallant (FR)
    Tom Marquand·Oli Rix·beaten 0.3 lengths
    7/1·8.00
    SP
Race time
1m 27.52s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Tex (FR))

Racing in mid-division early - made smooth progress 2f out - pushed along 1f out and hit the front final 110yds - kept on well to score

AI top-rated Mr Writer (score 64.3) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.064.3/100 rating
Mr Writer
4.40Betfair Exchange· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1
No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Each-way52.8/100 rating
Walson's Law
10.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Mr Writer

Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe · 3yo

64.3/100
+11.5 vs next best (52.8)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    20d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    75strong
    Last 6: 4-2-1-5-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    60average
    James Fanshawe: 4/17 winners last 14d (24%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    55average
    OR 82 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 4.40 (Betfair Exchange) — 2nd favourite. AI sees slight value vs consensus.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners

Pos#DrHorseJockey / TrainerFormWtORRPRTSAISP
417
5yo · G · b
16300
10-038152.8
7/1·8.00
SP
2213
6yo · G · gr
46542
10-028047.1
9/4F·3.25
SP
335
4yo · G · bt
260757
10-017940.3
7/1·8.00
SP
941
7yo · M · b
685568
10-007843.9
100/1·101.00
SP
852
4yo · G · bv
08640
10-007836.5
14/1·15.00
SP
6610
3yo · G · b
42151
9-118264.3
100/30·4.33
SP
7711
6yo · G · bp
23317
9-117546.4
25/1·26.00
SP
5912
3yo · G · b
387771
9-077848.7
7/2·4.50
SP
10119
3yo · G · b
4325
9-067751.0
40/1·41.00
SP
11128
7yo · G · btp
43153
9-046844.5
28/1·29.00
SP
1133
5yo · G · grtp
33230
9-036739.6
12/1·13.00
SP
4
6yo · G · b
65456
9-087242.3
6
3yo · F · b
37658
9-067749.9

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:40 Ascot on 24 July 2026?

Tex (FR) won the 16:40 Ascot at SP 13.00. Ridden by Pat Cosgrave. Trained by George Baker.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:40 Ascot?

No — the AI top pick (Mr Writer) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 16:40 Ascot?

Top finishers: 1. Tex (FR) (13.00), 2. Havana Blue (GB) (3.25), 3. Gallant (FR) (8.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:40 Ascot?

The winning time was 1m 27.52s.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Independent Expert heads our ratings on 90, though only narrowly ahead of Mystic Moment on 89 and Gallant on 88, so this looks a competitive renewal rather than a formality. Havana Blue, four pounds back on 86, adds a fourth line of solid form to the picture. Independent Expert gets the nod as our selection, with Mystic Moment, Gallant and Havana Blue all capable of running her closest in this 7f Class 4 on good to firm.

Racing Post pick: Independent Expert

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org