Who won the 20:46 Chepstow on 24 July 2026?
Crimson Road (IRE) won the 20:46 Chepstow at SP 5.00. Ridden by William Carson. Trained by John & Rhys Flint.
20:46 Chepstow
Weir Mechanical Solutions Handicap Stakes
1m2f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £3,454 · Friday, 24 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stCrimson Road (IRE)William Carson·John & Rhys Flint4/1·5.00SP
- 2ndMidnight Media (GB)Ryan Kavanagh·William Muir & Chris Grassick·beaten 1 length3/1F·4.00SP
- 3rdTiger Beetle (GB)Zoe Lewis·Thomas Faulkner·beaten .75 lengths22/1·23.00SP
Race time
2m 6.09s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Crimson Road (IRE))
“up with the pack early - improved to strike front 2f out - quickened clear final furlong”
AI top-rated Fozzy Osbourne (score 46.3) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way46.3/100 rating
Fozzy Osbourne
6.507Bet
Place portion settles at 2.10 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Brodie's Boy
Brodie's Boy is our selection at Chepstow, preferred to the head of our ratings on a progressive profile rather than the bare figures. Crimson Road sits on top of the numbers and is the chief danger over this longer trip, with Midnight Media and City Escape both capable of featuring in a well-contested nine-runner field. Confidence in the selection is low given how tightly this race is rated.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Fozzy Osbourne
Joe Leavy · Grace Harris · 5yo
Top-rated of 9
score 46.3 · +0.1 clear of next best (46.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong16d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight50averageGrace Harris: 3/15 winners last 14d (20%)
- Ratings50% weight38below averageOR 57
- Form20% weight37below averageLast 6: 9-5-6-3
MarketBest price 6.50 (7Bet) · 3rd in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Chepstow 1m2f
full course data →Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.21).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.21
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.02
High (7–9)
IV 0.76
Today: Tiger Beetle (draw 2) and Crimson Road (draw 1) get the bias; Fozzy Osbourne (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 43 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: William Carson · T: John & Rhys Flint · draw 1 5yo · G · b | 57594 | 58 | 34.7 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 594921 | 59 | 44.5 | 3/1F·4.00 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Zoe Lewis(7) · T: Thomas Faulkner · draw 2 8yo · G · btp | 873578 | 50 | 46.2 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 4 | 8 | J: Josephine Gordon · T: Keiran Burke · draw 3 4yo · G · bp | 69075 | 45 | 28.2 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Joe Leavy · T: Grace Harris · draw 9 5yo · G · br | 9563 | 57 | 46.3 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Nikki Evans · draw 7 9yo · M · b/es | 36655 | 49 | 42.1 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: George Wood · T: Tony Carroll · draw 8 5yo · G · bp | 534847 | 58 | 43.4 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 8 | 9 | J: Jack Doughty · T: David Flood · draw 4 3yo · F · b | 21570 | 53 | 31.9 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 9 | 7 | J: Mason Paetel(5) · T: Barry John Murphy · draw 5 8yo · M · bh | 707R | 47 | 23.9 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:46 Chepstow?
No — the AI top pick (Fozzy Osbourne) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 20:46 Chepstow?
Top finishers: 1. Crimson Road (IRE) (5.00), 2. Midnight Media (GB) (4.00), 3. Tiger Beetle (GB) (23.00).
What was the winning time for the 20:46 Chepstow?
The winning time was 2m 6.09s.
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